Freiburg 2-1 Schalke: Goto's late goal rewards a depleted side
Short review AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- Five shots: Schalke's average is 14.6
- 85' winner worth +1.6 FN xPts
- xG 1.07 v 0.32 favoured Freiburg
Freiburg survive a red card to win
Maximilian Eggestein put Freiburg ahead in the 10th minute, and Kenan Karaman levelled for Schalke in the 30th. Suzuki's 64th-minute red card left the hosts a player short, yet the match stayed 1-1 until the 85th minute and Freiburg finished as 2-1 winners.
Schalke barely threatened in front of goal
Schalke managed only five shots, well below their season average of 14.6 over five matches, and just one was on target. Substitute Keisuke Goto struck the late winner in the 85th minute from a Vincenzo Grifo assist, another replacement. It was worth +1.6 FN xPts, as it turned a draw into a lead.
FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
Maximilian Eggestein 8.1Dominant
He scored once, had two shots, made three interceptions and won two of three dribbles.
His 10th-minute opener gave Freiburg 25 minutes in front, and his interceptions and 6 duels won from 14 kept him involved in midfield. It was his third league goal of the season.
Game state
1-01-12-1
SC Freiburg ahead 25 min · level 65 min · FC Schalke 04 ahead 0 min
- SC Freiburg: Red card 64' → ~26 min a player down
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.
10'
Maximilian Eggestein
Goal · S04 −0.4
+0.5
30'
Kenan Karaman
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist A. Gantenbein +0.2 · SCF −0.6
+0.5
64'
Yuito Suzuki
Red card · S04 +0.3
−0.3
85'
Keisuke Goto
Goal · scorer +1.1 · assist Vincenzo Grifo +0.5 · S04 −1.0
+1.6
SC Freiburg
Expected (last two seasons) 2.1Own moments +1.8Opponent moments −0.6Time effect −0.3→ League points won 3
FC Schalke 04
Expected (last two seasons) 0.7Own moments +0.5Opponent moments −1.1Time effect −0.1→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
SC FreiburgFC Schalke 04
1.07Expected goals (xG)0.32
Compared with usual
SC Freiburg
5 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 2 | 3.4 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0.8 | |
| xG | 1.07 | 2.3 | |
| xG against | 0.32 | 0.92 | |
| Shots | 10 | 18.6 | |
| On target | 4 | 7.2 | |
| Shots faced | 5 | 8.6 | |
| xG per shot | 0.11 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 51% | 53.6% | |
| Passes | 427 | 472.2 | |
| Corners | 7 | 6 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 9 | |
FC Schalke 04
5 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.6 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 0.32 | 1.5 | |
| xG against | 1.07 | 2.2 | |
| Shots | 5 | 14.6 | |
| On target | 1 | 5.8 | |
| Shots faced | 10 | 16 | |
| xG per shot | 0.06 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 49% | 43.6% | |
| Passes | 418 | 420.2 | |
| Corners | 2 | 4.2 | |
| Fouls | 13 | 8.4 | |
Timeline
- 10'
Goal
Maximilian Eggestein league goal #3
- 30'
Goal
Kenan Karaman league goal #1 assist A. Gantenbein
- 49'
Yellow
Yuito Suzuki
- 57'
Yellow
Matthias Ginter
- 64'
Red
Yuito Suzuki
- 65'
Sub
Igor Matanović → Lucas Höler
- 69'
Sub
Junior Adamu → Edin Džeko
- 69'
Sub
Satoshi Tanaka → Ron Schallenberg
- 69'
Sub
Yannick Engelhardt → Keisuke Goto
- 69'
Sub
Jan-Niklas Beste → Cyriaque Kalou Irié
- 79'
Sub
Moussa Sylla → Hwang Hee-Chan
- 79'
Sub
A. Gantenbein → Adil Aouchiche
- 79'
Sub
Maximilian Wöber → Timo Becker
- 83'
Sub
Derry Scherhant → Vincenzo Grifo
- 83'
Sub
Philipp Treu → Lukas Kübler
- 85'
Goal
Keisuke Goto league goal #1 assist Vincenzo Grifo
- 87'
Yellow
Hwang Hee-Chan
Category leaders
- Key passesJan-Niklas Beste2
- Duels wonJordy Makengo10/16
- DribblesIgor Matanović3/4
- Defensive actionsA. Gantenbein9
- Fouls wonJunior Adamu3
#Bundesliga#Freiburg#Schalke#Eggestein#Keisuke Goto#Match review
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.