Sabah 2-0 Slavia Praha: Pokatilov denies a 2.06 xG attack
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- Shots 13 v 18: Sabah won despite being outshot
- xG 1.49 v 2.06: Slavia had the better chances
- S. Pokatilov made six saves for the clean sheet
A win that the xG did not predict
Sabah beat Slavia Praha 2-0 in Baku, even if xG disagrees. Slavia piled up 2.06 xG without scoring, while Sabah turned 1.49 xG into two goals. It was a match in which the better chances and the better result belonged to different sides.
Pokatilov stood between Slavia and a goal
Slavia had 13 shots inside the box, and Lukáš Provod alone took eight of Slavia's attempts. S. Pokatilov made six saves to keep them out. For long spells the visitors' pressure produced nothing, which is why Sabah's slim edge survived despite their opponents' greater volume of shooting.
Parris scores after a goal is ruled out
Kaheem Parris had a goal ruled out by VAR in the first half, but he scored in the 49th minute from Ivan Lepinjica's assist. That strike was worth +0.9 FN xPts to Sabah, while Slavia Praha's FN xPts fell by 0.7. It was the moment a tight contest tilted in Sabah's favour.
A substitute's assist sealed it late
P. Mbina, on as a substitute in the 73rd minute, set up J. Mickels for the second in the 88th. Sabah had led since the 49th minute, and the goal sealed it, doubling the margin. In FN xPts terms it moved little, because the result had already largely tilted their way.
FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
S. Pokatilov 7.8Strong
Six saves kept Slavia Praha off the scoresheet.
The FN MOM earned his points between the posts, where six saves came against a side that generated 2.06 xG. Conceding nothing from that volume of chances was worth more than anything else he did, and it meant the lead Kaheem Parris created in the 49th minute survived to the end. J. Mickels's 88th-minute goal then doubled the margin.
Game state
1-02-0
Sabah FA ahead 41 min · level 49 min · Slavia Praha ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.
49'
Kaheem Parris
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Ivan Lepinjica +0.3 · SLA −0.7
+0.9
88'
J. Mickels
Goal · assist P. Mbina · SLA −0.1
+0.2
Sabah FA
Expected (no record yet, starting estimate) 1.6Own moments +1.1Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.3→ League points won 3
Slavia Praha
Expected (no record yet, starting estimate) 1.2Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.8Time effect −0.4→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
Sabah FASlavia Praha
1.49Expected goals (xG)2.06
Timeline
- 14'
Yellow
Veljko Simić
- 17'
VAR
Kaheem Parris
- 49'
Goal
Kaheem Parris assist Ivan Lepinjica
- 62'
Sub
Tomáš Holeš → M. E. Suleiman
- 62'
Sub
Michal Sadílek → W. Nowak
- 66'
Yellow
Steve Solvet
- 67'
Yellow
E. Ayaosi
- 72'
Sub
Steve Solvet → R. Daşdəmirov
- 73'
Sub
Kaheem Parris → P. Mbina
- 73'
Sub
Du Queiroz → C. Nwachukwu
- 73'
Sub
Tomáš Vlček → S. Isife
- 73'
Sub
Tomáš Chorý → Mojmír Chytil
- 74'
Yellow
Akim Zedadka
- 75'
Sub
Ange N'Guessan → O. Kubiak
- 77'
Yellow
O. Kubiak
- 86'
Sub
Veljko Simić → A. Xaybulayev
- 88'
Goal
J. Mickels assist P. Mbina
Category leaders
- Key passesE. Ayaosi4
- Duels wonAkim Zedadka10/17
- DribblesAkim Zedadka2/3
- Defensive actionsIvan Lepinjica5
- ShotsLukáš Provod8 (on target 4)
- Fouls wonAkim Zedadka4
#Sabah#Slavia Praha#Champions League#S. Pokatilov#Kaheem Parris#J. Mickels
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.