Villarreal 3-1 Napoli: two goals in three minutes turn it round
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- 64 minutes in front after conceding first
- xG 1.42 yet three goals: +1.58 on expectation
- 450 passes: lowest of nine matches this season
Quickfire reply to an early setback
Napoli went ahead through an early Amir Rrahmani goal, but Villarreal turned the match round before the half-hour. Georges Mikautadze equalised and, three minutes later, Santiago Mouriño made it 2-1 from a Gerard Moreno assist. That pair of goals kept Villarreal in front for 64 minutes of the 90.
Napoli had the better chances
Napoli's xG of 1.94 was the higher of the two, so the quality of their openings was not in doubt. Villarreal took the more speculative route, with nine of their shots coming from outside the box, yet they still beat their xG by 1.58 goals. The gap between the scoreline and the chances came down to finishing.
Fewest passes of their season
Villarreal's 450 passes were their fewest in nine matches this season, so this was not a win built on keeping the ball. Instead it leaned on a front two that clicked: having switched to a 4-4-2, they paired Moreno with Mikautadze, who scored, while Moreno set up Mouriño's goal.
The equaliser carried the most weight
By FN xPts, Mikautadze's equaliser was worth +0.7 to Villarreal and −0.7 to Napoli, the largest combined change of the match, because it cancelled out the early deficit. Tani Oluwaseyi came off the bench and, assisted by fellow substitute Ayoze Pérez, stretched the lead to two goals in the 86th minute.
FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
Santiago Mouriño 8.0Dominant
A goal in the 26th minute plus seven of ten duels won from defence.
Mouriño's goal arrived three minutes after the equaliser and gave Villarreal a lead Napoli never took back. He also won seven of his ten duels, added a tackle and an interception, and completed 40 of 48 passes, so he contributed in attack, defence and build-up. It was his second goal in two Champions League appearances.
Game state
0-11-12-13-1
Villarreal ahead 64 min · level 11 min · Napoli ahead 15 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.
8'
Amir Rrahmani
Goal · VIL −0.6
+0.7
23'
Georges Mikautadze
Goal · NAP −0.7
+0.7
26'
Santiago Mouriño
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Gerard Moreno +0.2 · NAP −0.6
+0.7
86'
Tani Oluwaseyi
Goal · assist Ayoze Pérez · NAP −0.1
+0.2
Villarreal
Expected (last two seasons) 1.5Own moments +1.6Opponent moments −0.6Time effect +0.5→ League points won 3
Napoli
Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments +0.7Opponent moments −1.4Time effect −0.5→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
VillarrealNapoli
1.42Expected goals (xG)1.94
Compared with usual
Villarreal
9 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1.7 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.8 | |
| xG | 1.42 | 2 | |
| xG against | 1.94 | 1.4 | |
| Shots | 16 | 15.6 | |
| On target | 4 | 6.2 | |
| Shots faced | 9 | 13.2 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.13 | |
| Possession | 52% | 59.3% | |
| Passes | 450 | 568.4 | low |
| Corners | 4 | 6.8 | |
| Fouls | 7 | 10.9 | |
Napoli
7 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.4 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1 | |
| xG | 1.94 | 1.7 | |
| xG against | 1.42 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 9 | 13.3 | |
| On target | 2 | 4.6 | |
| Shots faced | 16 | 18 | |
| xG per shot | 0.22 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 48% | 48.9% | |
| Passes | 387 | 469.7 | |
| Corners | 4 | 4.7 | |
| Fouls | 14 | 9.7 | |
Timeline
- 8'
Goal
Amir Rrahmani competition goal #1
- 23'
Goal
Georges Mikautadze competition goal #1
- 26'
Goal
Santiago Mouriño competition goal #2 assist Gerard Moreno
- 33'
Yellow
Georges Mikautadze
- 55'
Yellow
Giovane
- 60'
Sub
Giovane → Noa Lang
- 60'
Sub
Scott McTominay → Leonardo Spinazzola
- 61'
Sub
Matteo Politano → David Neres
- 62'
Yellow
Kevin De Bruyne
- 63'
Sub
Gerard Moreno → Tani Oluwaseyi
- 63'
Sub
Georges Mikautadze → Alexander Freeman
- 67'
Yellow
Nathan-Dylan Saliba
- 68'
Sub
Alberto Moleiro → Juan Foyth
- 72'
Sub
Billy Gilmour → Stanislav Lobotka
- 72'
Sub
Rafa Marín → Lorenzo Lucca
- 83'
Sub
Santi Comesaña → Ayoze Pérez
- 84'
Sub
Pape Gueye → Sergi Cardona
- 85'
Yellow
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
- 86'
Goal
Tani Oluwaseyi competition goal #1 assist Ayoze Pérez
Category leaders
- Key passesSanti Comesaña3
- Duels wonCarlos Romero9/10
- DribblesAlberto Moleiro2/2
- Defensive actionsCarlos Romero8
- ShotsAmir Rrahmani3 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonNathan-Dylan Saliba3
#Villarreal#Napoli#Champions League#Santiago Mouriño#Georges Mikautadze#Amir Rrahmani
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.