Shakhtar Donetsk 3-1 AEK Athens: defender's goal turns it round
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- 0.12 xG per shot vs AEK's lower figure
- Level for roughly 74 minutes before the late goals
- xG 1.41, three goals: a finish above expectation
Behind early, in front late
AEK Athens went ahead in the 28th minute through Lovro Majer, but Shakhtar Donetsk were level within minutes when Pedrinho converted a penalty. Level scores accounted for roughly 74 minutes of the match, and two late goals turned it into a 3-1 win for the hosts.
Fewer shots, but better ones
AEK Athens had more shots than Shakhtar Donetsk, but Shakhtar's average attempt was worth 0.12 xG, a little higher than AEK's. That points to slightly more dangerous efforts from the hosts, who outperformed their xG of 1.41 by scoring three times. AEK were not short of opportunities, but Shakhtar used theirs better.
AEK held their own in midfield
The visitors' midfield was far from passive. Aboubakary Koita won 11 of 20 duels, and Răzvan Marin made four key passes, the most of any player. Majer's opener was set up by Stavros Pilios, but that midfield effort did not stop the goals that came later.
Tobias breaks a level match
Vinícius Tobias's goal in the 80th minute, set up by Alisson Santana, broke the deadlock and was worth +1.5 FN xPts to Shakhtar, while AEK's FN xPts fell by 0.9. Substitute G. Mendoza, assisted by Isaque, added a third soon afterwards to settle the scoreline.
FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
Vinícius Tobias 8.7Dominant
Scored once and made four tackles and three interceptions.
Vinícius Tobias, the FN MOM, was involved at both ends: 50 of his 57 passes found a team-mate and he won seven of 11 duels. That workload mattered because the match was level for roughly 74 minutes before his 80th-minute goal broke it open, with a third following in the 86th minute.
Game state
0-11-12-13-1
Shakhtar Donetsk ahead 10 min · level 74 min · AEK Athens FC ahead 6 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.
28'
Lovro Majer
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Stavros Pilios +0.2 · SHK −0.7
+0.8
34'
Pedrinho
Pen goal · AEK −0.8
+0.8
80'
Vinícius Tobias
Goal · scorer +1.0 · assist Alisson Santana +0.5 · AEK −0.9
+1.5
86'
G. Mendoza
Goal · assist Isaque · AEK −0.1
+0.2
Shakhtar Donetsk
Expected (no record yet, starting estimate) 1.6Own moments +2.5Opponent moments −0.7Time effect −0.4→ League points won 3
AEK Athens FC
Expected (no record yet, starting estimate) 1.2Own moments +0.8Opponent moments −1.8Time effect −0.2→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
Shakhtar DonetskAEK Athens FC
1.41Expected goals (xG)1.12
Timeline
- 18'
Yellow
Lovro Majer
- 28'
Goal
Lovro Majer assist Stavros Pilios
- 31'
VAR
Alisson Santana
- 34'
Goal
Pedrinho (pen) competition goal #1
- 42'
Yellow
Harold Moukoudi
- 54'
Yellow
Marlon Gomes
- 61'
Yellow
Răzvan Marin
- 63'
Sub
Pedrinho → Isaque
- 63'
Sub
Newertton → G. Mendoza
- 71'
Sub
Lovro Majer → João Mário
- 71'
Sub
Zini → Mijat Gaćinović
- 78'
Sub
Milán Vitális → Kaan Kairinen
- 79'
Sub
Luka Jović → Barnabás Varga
- 80'
Goal
Vinícius Tobias competition goal #1 assist Alisson Santana
- 81'
Sub
Marlon Gomes → Yehor Nazaryna
- 83'
Sub
Răzvan Marin → Oleksandr Zubkov
- 86'
Goal
G. Mendoza competition goal #2 assist Isaque
- 87'
Sub
Kauã Elias → Luca Meirelles
- 87'
Sub
Alisson Santana → Lucas Ferreira
- 90'
Yellow
Barnabás Varga
Category leaders
- Key passesRăzvan Marin4
- Duels wonAboubakary Koita11/20
- DribblesAboubakary Koita3/6
- Defensive actionsAboubakary Koita8
- ShotsHarold Moukoudi3 (on target 0)
- Fouls wonAlisson Santana4
#Shakhtar Donetsk#AEK Athens#Champions League#Vinícius Tobias#Pedrinho#Lovro Majer
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.