Jagiellonia 3-1 Ararat-Armenia: a swift answer to an early goal
Short review AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- xG 1.59 v 0.99: the hosts had the better chances
- About 52 minutes in front after trailing 1-0
- Conceição won 10 of 14 duels and scored
A quick reply to the early goal
Jagiellonia went behind in the 11th minute but equalised through Kamil Jóźwiak in the 13th and went on to win 3-1. Ararat-Armenia had more of the ball, yet an xG of 1.59 to 0.99 suggests the hosts created the better chances and made them count.
Conceição's goal put the hosts in front
Rodrigo Conceição's 38th-minute goal put Jagiellonia ahead for the first time, 2-1, with Anders Klynge providing the assist. It was worth +0.8 FN xPts to the hosts and −0.7 to Ararat-Armenia, the largest combined change of the match. O. Sow added a third in the 51st minute.
FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
Rodrigo Conceição 9.0Dominant
A goal, six successful dribbles from six and 10 of 14 duels won from a defensive role.
The FN MOM scored the goal that made it 2-1 and also won 10 of 14 duels and made four interceptions. That mix of end product and defensive work kept Jagiellonia ahead from the 38th minute onwards.
Game state
0-11-12-13-1
Jagiellonia ahead 52 min · level 36 min · Ararat-Armenia ahead 2 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.
11'
Zidane Banjaqui
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist M. Carlier +0.2 · JAG −0.7
+0.7
13'
Kamil Jóźwiak
Goal · ARA −0.7
+0.7
38'
Rodrigo Conceição
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Anders Klynge +0.2 · ARA −0.7
+0.8
51'
O. Sow
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Jesús Imaz +0.2 · ARA −0.3
+0.5
Jagiellonia
Expected (no record yet, starting estimate) 1.6Own moments +2.0Opponent moments −0.7Time effect +0.1→ League points won 3
Ararat-Armenia
Expected (no record yet, starting estimate) 1.2Own moments +0.7Opponent moments −1.7Time effect −0.2→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
JagielloniaArarat-Armenia
1.59Expected goals (xG)0.99
Timeline
- 11'
Goal
Zidane Banjaqui assist M. Carlier
- 13'
Goal
Kamil Jóźwiak
- 17'
Sub
Zidane Banjaqui → Z. Shaghoyan
- 20'
Yellow
Taras Romanczuk
- 30'
Yellow
Bruno Wilson
- 38'
Goal
Rodrigo Conceição assist Anders Klynge
- 49'
Yellow
Manuel Jorge da Silva Cruz (coaching staff)
- 51'
Goal
O. Sow assist Jesús Imaz
- 57'
Yellow
A. Tera
- 66'
Sub
O. Sow → Jeremy Agbonifo
- 68'
Sub
A. Tera → Bernardo Oliveira Dias
- 68'
Sub
Luís Felipe → K. Muradyan
- 68'
Sub
Kamil Jóźwiak → Dušan Stojinović
- 68'
Sub
Jesús Imaz → Eryk Kozlowski
- 76'
Sub
A. Serobyan → França
- 76'
Sub
Sandro Lima → A. Eloyan
- 79'
Sub
Kajetan Szmyt → Aleksandar Ćirković
- 80'
Sub
Taras Romanczuk → Sergio Lozano
- 83'
Yellow
Dušan Stojinović
- 84'
Yellow
Eryk Kozlowski
Category leaders
- Key passesZ. Shaghoyan4
- Duels wonRodrigo Conceição10/14
- DribblesRodrigo Conceição6/6
- Defensive actionsA. Serobyan7
- ShotsA. Serobyan5 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonJ. Balanta4
#Jagiellonia#Ararat-Armenia#Europa League#Rodrigo Conceição#Kamil Jóźwiak
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.