Frankfurt 1-0 Köln: a sturdier defence and a goal from Ebnoutalib
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- xG 1.84 v 0.82: Frankfurt created the better chances
- Nine shots allowed, against a recent average of 19.2
- Köln committed 17 fouls, against a season average of 9.7
One goal lifts Frankfurt to eighth
Eintracht Frankfurt beat 1. FC Köln thanks to Younes Ebnoutalib's goal in the 77th minute. The match was level for roughly 77 minutes before that, and the win moves Frankfurt up from 14th to eighth. Köln stay on seven points but slip from 10th to 11th.
A back line unlike the recent ones
Over their previous five matches Frankfurt had allowed an average of 19.2 shots. Here Köln managed nine, only three of them on target, and the hosts kept a clean sheet. Robin Koch and Lilian Brassier each attempted more than 60 passes from the back, which suggests they also steadied the build-up.
Schwäbe keeps Köln in it
Frankfurt's expected goals reached 1.84, yet they scored only once. The main reason appears to be Köln goalkeeper Marvin Schwäbe, who made six saves to keep it level. Farès Chaïbi put four efforts on target without scoring.
Aseko's cameo sets up the winner
Noel Aseko came on in the 71st minute and assisted Ebnoutalib in the 77th. Going from 0-0 to 1-0 was worth +1.3 FN xPts to Frankfurt, while Köln lost 0.8. That single moment became the winning goal.
FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
Robin Koch 8.1Dominant
He won 11 of 13 duels and made four interceptions as Frankfurt kept a clean sheet.
Koch added three tackles and completed 56 of his 63 passes, so he contributed in defence and in build-up. Köln managed only three shots on target, which kept the match goalless until the 77th minute. That gave Ebnoutalib's goal the chance to be the winner.
Game state
1-0
Eintracht Frankfurt ahead 13 min · level 77 min · 1. FC Köln ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.
77'
Younes Ebnoutalib
Goal · scorer +0.9 · assist Noel Aseko +0.4 · KOE −0.8
+1.3
Eintracht Frankfurt
Expected (last two seasons) 1.9Own moments +1.3Opponent moments 0.0Time effect −0.2→ League points won 3
1. FC Köln
Expected (last two seasons) 0.8Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.8Time effect 0.0→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
Eintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln
1.84Expected goals (xG)0.82
Compared with usual
Eintracht Frankfurt
last 5 matches, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.8 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 3.2 | |
| xG | 1.84 | 1.9 | |
| xG against | 0.82 | 2.3 | |
| Shots | 15 | 14.6 | |
| On target | 7 | 5.6 | |
| Shots faced | 9 | 19.2 | |
| xG per shot | 0.12 | 0.14 | |
| Possession | 56% | 50.4% | |
| Passes | 449 | 434.6 | |
| Corners | 7 | 5 | |
| Fouls | 8 | 10.8 | |
1. FC Köln
6 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1.7 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.8 | |
| xG | 0.82 | 1.8 | |
| xG against | 1.84 | 1.8 | |
| Shots | 9 | 17.2 | |
| On target | 3 | 5.8 | |
| Shots faced | 15 | 14.8 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 44% | 51.8% | |
| Passes | 360 | 452.2 | |
| Corners | 3 | 6.3 | |
| Fouls | 17 | 9.7 | |
Timeline
- 24'
Yellow
Mario Götze
- 39'
Yellow
Lilian Brassier
- 45'
Yellow
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
- 68'
Sub
Joel Schmied → Alessio Castro-Montes
- 68'
Sub
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson → Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler
- 68'
Sub
Linton Maina → Mikey Moore
- 71'
Sub
Nnamdi Collins → Ansgar Knauff
- 71'
Sub
Mario Götze → Noel Aseko
- 77'
Goal
Younes Ebnoutalib league goal #5 assist Noel Aseko
- 82'
Sub
Jonathan Burkardt → Elias Baum
- 84'
Sub
Sebastian Sebulonsen → Luca Waldschmidt
- 84'
Sub
Said El Mala → Reigan Heskey
- 90+4'
Yellow
Borna Sosa
Category leaders
- Key passesBorna Sosa4
- Duels wonTom Krauß14/21
- DribblesRitsu Doan3/8
- Defensive actionsTom Krauß15
- ShotsFarès Chaïbi6 (on target 4)
- Fouls wonRitsu Doan5
#Eintracht Frankfurt#1. FC Köln#Bundesliga#Younes Ebnoutalib#Robin Koch#Ritsu Doan
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.