Le Mans 0-3 Toulouse: Dønnum's second-half burst breaks the hosts
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- Le Mans: 1 shot on target, season average 4.7
- Toulouse scored 3 from 1.83 xG
- Toulouse climb from 15th to 7th on 9 points
A goalless half, then two quick goals
Nothing separated the sides before the break. Toulouse then struck through Jacen Russell Rowe in the 46th minute, and Aron Dønnum added a second in the 59th. Casper Tengstedt sealed it in the 87th minute, his fifth league goal of the season. The result lifted Toulouse from 15th to seventh in the table.
Plenty of the ball, little threat
Le Mans had more of the ball, and their 564 passes were more than they had managed in any of their previous six matches this season. It brought little end product. They had only one shot on target, against an average of 4.7 over those six matches, so the pressure never turned into a real test of Guillaume Restes.
Sharper finishing made the difference
Toulouse had only slightly more shots than Le Mans, yet they were far more efficient. They scored three from an xG of 1.83, outscoring xG by 1.17, and their average shot was worth more than the hosts'. Tengstedt took more shots than anyone else on the pitch, and his persistence was rewarded late on.
The goal that turned a level match
Jacen Russell Rowe's goal in the 46th minute, created by Aron Dønnum, was worth +0.8 FN xPts to Toulouse, while Le Mans' FN xPts fell by −0.7. That was the largest combined change of the match, because it turned a level contest into a lead. Dønnum then added the second himself, and Le Mans never found a reply.
FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
Aron Dønnum 8.7Dominant
He scored once, set up another goal and created two chances in 64 minutes.
FN MOM Aron Dønnum's value came mostly in attack: he set up Jacen Russell Rowe for the opener and scored the second himself, so both goals before the hour mark ran through him. He also won six of his eight duels and drew three fouls, helping Toulouse keep hold of the ball, and he left in the 64th minute with his side already 2-0 up.
Game state
0-10-20-3
Le Mans ahead 0 min · level 46 min · Toulouse ahead 44 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.
46'
Jacen Russell Rowe
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Aron Dønnum +0.2 · LMF −0.7
+0.8
59'
Aron Dønnum
Goal · LMF −0.3
+0.4
87'
Casper Tengstedt
Goal · assist Cristian Cásseres Jr. · LMF 0.0
0.0
Le Mans
Expected (last two seasons) 1.0Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −1.0Time effect 0.0→ League points won 0
Toulouse
Expected (last two seasons) 1.7Own moments +1.2Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.1→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
Le MansToulouse
0.98Expected goals (xG)1.83
Compared with usual
Le Mans
6 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1.7 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 | |
| xG | 0.98 | 1.7 | |
| xG against | 1.83 | 2.3 | |
| Shots | 11 | 10.5 | |
| On target | 1 | 4.7 | |
| Shots faced | 13 | 17.2 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.16 | |
| Possession | 53% | 43.3% | |
| Passes | 564 | 383.2 | |
| Corners | 2 | 2.8 | |
| Fouls | 15 | 14.8 | |
Toulouse
6 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1.5 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1.8 | |
| xG | 1.83 | 2.1 | |
| xG against | 0.98 | 1.6 | |
| Shots | 13 | 13.8 | |
| On target | 5 | 4.5 | |
| Shots faced | 11 | 15.3 | |
| xG per shot | 0.14 | 0.15 | |
| Possession | 47% | 50.8% | |
| Passes | 526 | 499.3 | |
| Corners | 2 | 4.5 | |
| Fouls | 9 | 16.7 | |
Timeline
- 46'
Goal
Jacen Russell Rowe league goal #2 assist Aron Dønnum
- 49'
Yellow
Jacen Russell Rowe
- 59'
Goal
Aron Dønnum league goal #1
- 61'
Sub
Yasser Larouci → Lucas Calodat
- 61'
Sub
Dame Gueye → Habibou Diallo
- 61'
Sub
Daouda Traore → Billal Brahimi
- 64'
Sub
Aron Dønnum → Alexis Vossah
- 69'
Sub
Lucas Buades → Rayan Bamba
- 76'
Sub
Jacen Russell Rowe → Julián Vignolo
- 77'
Sub
Harold Voyer → Noa Boissé
- 78'
VAR
Casper Tengstedt
- 85'
Sub
Rasmus Nicolaisen → Seny Koumbassa
- 87'
Goal
Casper Tengstedt league goal #5 assist Cristian Cásseres Jr.
- 90'
Yellow
Samuel Yohou
- 90+4'
Yellow
Djibril Sidibé
Category leaders
- Key passesCristian Cásseres Jr.3
- Duels wonCristian Cásseres Jr.8/12
- DribblesCristian Cásseres Jr.2/4
- Defensive actionsLucas Bretelle5
- ShotsCasper Tengstedt6 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonAron Dønnum3
#Ligue 1#Le Mans#Toulouse#Aron Dønnum#Casper Tengstedt#match review
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.