Werder Bremen 2-2 SC Paderborn: Füllkrug fires back from 0-2
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- xG 2.87 v 1.01: Bremen had the better chances
- Nahuel Noll made 9 saves, conceding twice
- 65' penalty: +1.0 FN xPts for Bremen, −1.3 for Paderborn
Paderborn strike twice before the break
SC Paderborn took a two-goal lead through a first-half pair. Steffen Tigges set up Stefano Marino in the 18th minute and scored himself in the 30th, which gave Paderborn roughly 47 minutes in front. Werder Bremen had the bulk of the ball, yet went in at the break two goals down.
Bremen's shooting was sharper than usual
Bremen's xG of 2.87 was far above their average of 1.3 so far this season. They put 11 shots on target, yet scored fewer goals than the xG suggested. With a higher xG per shot than their usual, the shortfall looks to have been in finishing rather than in the number of chances.
Noll's nine saves kept Paderborn ahead
Paderborn had less of the ball and fewer shots than their average so far this season. Even so, they scored twice from an xG of 1.01, while Nahuel Noll made nine saves at the other end. He did concede twice, one of them from the penalty spot.
Füllkrug's brace restored parity
Niclas Füllkrug pulled one back after Eren Dinkçi's assist and then levelled from the spot in the 65th minute. The equaliser was worth +1.0 FN xPts to Bremen and −1.3 to Paderborn, the largest change across both sides in the match. A winner never arrived, though.
FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
Steffen Tigges 8.0Dominant
One goal and one assist in 75 minutes, with two of his three shots on target.
The FN MOM was involved in both Paderborn goals, assisting in the 18th minute and scoring in the 30th, and that lead stood until the 59th. Leading the line, Tigges won seven of his 14 duels and put two of three shots on target. He was withdrawn in the 75th minute and the score did not change afterwards.
Game state
0-10-21-22-2
Werder Bremen ahead 0 min · level 43 min · SC Paderborn 07 ahead 47 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.
18'
Stefano Marino
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Steffen Tigges +0.2 · SVW −0.8
+0.8
30'
Steffen Tigges
Goal · SVW −0.5
+0.7
59'
Niclas Füllkrug
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Eren Dinkçi +0.1 · SCP −0.6
+0.4
65'
Niclas Füllkrug
Pen goal · SCP −1.3
+1.0
Werder Bremen
Expected (last two seasons) 1.8Own moments +1.4Opponent moments −1.3Time effect −0.9→ League points won 1
SC Paderborn 07
Expected (last two seasons) 0.9Own moments +1.5Opponent moments −1.9Time effect +0.5→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07
2.87Expected goals (xG)1.01
Compared with usual
Werder Bremen
6 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 2 | 2.2 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.7 | |
| xG | 2.87 | 1.3 | |
| xG against | 1.01 | 1.8 | |
| Shots | 18 | 15 | |
| On target | 11 | 6.3 | |
| Shots faced | 11 | 13.8 | |
| xG per shot | 0.16 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 61% | 49.2% | |
| Passes | 626 | 489.8 | |
| Corners | 5 | 4.5 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 11.5 | |
SC Paderborn 07
6 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.2 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.5 | |
| xG | 1.01 | 0.92 | |
| xG against | 2.87 | 1.6 | |
| Shots | 11 | 15.7 | |
| On target | 4 | 3.8 | |
| Shots faced | 18 | 17.8 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.06 | |
| Possession | 39% | 50.2% | |
| Passes | 398 | 468 | |
| Corners | 3 | 5.3 | |
| Fouls | 14 | 9.8 | |
Timeline
- 4'
Yellow
Stefano Marino
- 18'
Goal
Stefano Marino league goal #2 assist Steffen Tigges
- 30'
Goal
Steffen Tigges league goal #2
- 45'
Sub
Chuky San José → Mitchell Weiser
- 59'
Goal
Niclas Füllkrug league goal #5 assist Eren Dinkçi
- 63'
Sub
Eren Dinkçi → Cédric Itten
- 65'
Goal
Niclas Füllkrug (pen) league goal #6
- 66'
Sub
Stefano Marino → Rayan Philippe
- 66'
Sub
Laurin Ulrich → Tom Baack
- 75'
Sub
Steffen Tigges → Marvin Pieringer
- 75'
Sub
Gabriel Vidović → Ruben Müller
- 79'
Sub
Ludovit Reis → Dariusz Stalmach
- 86'
Yellow
Youri Regeer
- 88'
Sub
Youri Regeer → Paul Erevbenagie
- 88'
Sub
Mattes Hansen → Jonah Benedict Sticker
Category leaders
- Key passesArthur3
- Duels wonAmos Pieper9/11
- DribblesOlivier Deman3/4
- Defensive actionsSantiago Castaneda8
- ShotsNiclas Füllkrug6 (on target 5)
#Bundesliga#Werder Bremen#SC Paderborn#Steffen Tigges#Niclas Füllkrug#Nahuel Noll
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.