Bayern München 6-1 RB Leipzig: Díaz hits a hat-trick
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- 17 shots on target vs a season average of 9.3
- Leipzig's 38% possession: lowest in eight matches
- Díaz: 3 goals, 1 assist, 4 of 6 shots on target
Bayern settle it before the break
Bayern München scored three times in the first half, and the contest was already settled at the interval. Aleksandar Pavlović, one of the players brought into the starting line-up, scored in the 26th minute. The goals continued after the restart, and RB Leipzig only responded in the first minute of stoppage time through Andrija Maksimović.
Volume, rather than exceptional chances
Bayern put 17 shots on target, well above their average of 9.3 across eight matches this season. Their xG per shot was slightly lower than usual, which suggests the chances were not unusually good; this was more a matter of volume than quality. The finishing then took them past their expected goals.
Least possession, most goals conceded
Leipzig's 38% possession was the lowest in their eight matches this season, and they conceded more than in any of those games. They also committed their fewest fouls, which hints at fewer attempts to win the ball back. Maarten Vandevoordt's 11 saves limited the damage.
The opener carried the most weight
Taking both sides together, the largest change in FN xPts came from Luis Díaz's opener in the 12th minute: worth +0.3 to Bayern and −0.2 to Leipzig. Once the margin had grown, later goals moved the figure very little, so the early goal carried the most weight.
FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
Luis Díaz 9.6Dominant
He scored three goals, set up another and put four of his six shots on target.
Díaz, the FN MOM, earned most of his credit through attacking output. He opened the scoring in the 12th minute, set up Aleksandar Pavlović's goal in the 26th, then scored in the 47th and 69th minutes to make it 4-0 and 6-0. He had a hand in the first, second, fourth and sixth goals.
Game state
1-02-03-04-05-06-06-1
Bayern München ahead 78 min · level 12 min · RB Leipzig ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.
12'
Luis Díaz
Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Joshua Kimmich +0.1 · RBL −0.2
+0.3
26'
Aleksandar Pavlović
Goal · assist Luis Díaz · RBL −0.1
+0.2
34'
Michael Olise
Goal · assist Harry Kane · RBL 0.0
+0.1
47'
Luis Díaz
Goal · assist Harry Kane · RBL 0.0
0.0
52'
Harry Kane
Goal · assist Nathaniel Brown · RBL 0.0
0.0
69'
Luis Díaz
Goal · assist Michael Olise · RBL 0.0
0.0
90+1'
Andrija Maksimović
Goal · assist Brajan Gruda · FCB 0.0
0.0
Bayern München
Expected (last two seasons) 2.5Own moments +0.6Opponent moments 0.0Time effect −0.1→ League points won 3
RB Leipzig
Expected (last two seasons) 0.3Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.3Time effect 0.0→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
3.84Expected goals (xG)0.9
Compared with usual
Bayern München
8 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 6 | 3.5 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| xG | 3.84 | 3.5 | |
| xG against | 0.9 | 0.9 | |
| Shots | 29 | 23.5 | |
| On target | 17 | 9.3 | high |
| Shots faced | 12 | 6.4 | |
| xG per shot | 0.13 | 0.15 | |
| Possession | 62% | 68.9% | |
| Passes | 666 | 698.3 | |
| Corners | 11 | 9.5 | |
| Fouls | 15 | 8.8 | high |
RB Leipzig
8 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 1 | 2.9 | |
| Conceded | 6 | 1.1 | high |
| xG | 0.9 | 2.4 | |
| xG against | 3.84 | 1.4 | |
| Shots | 12 | 19.5 | |
| On target | 4 | 7.1 | |
| Shots faced | 29 | 13.1 | high |
| xG per shot | 0.08 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 38% | 55.4% | low |
| Passes | 412 | 514.8 | |
| Corners | 3 | 6.5 | |
| Fouls | 6 | 10.6 | low |
Timeline
- 12'
Goal
Luis Díaz league goal #2 assist Joshua Kimmich
- 26'
Goal
Aleksandar Pavlović league goal #2 assist Luis Díaz
- 34'
Goal
Michael Olise league goal #5 assist Harry Kane
- 45'
Sub
Christopher Nkunku → Tidiam Gomis
- 45'
Sub
Ezechiel Banzuzi → Nicolas Seiwald
- 47'
Goal
Luis Díaz league goal #3 assist Harry Kane
- 51'
Yellow
Konrad Laimer
- 52'
Goal
Harry Kane league goal #4 assist Nathaniel Brown
- 59'
Sub
Aleksandar Pavlović → Tom Bischof
- 59'
Sub
Konrad Laimer → Josip Stanišić
- 59'
Sub
Harry Kane → Lennart Karl
- 59'
Sub
Ismael Saibari → Serge Gnabry
- 59'
Sub
Lukas Klostermann → Benjamin Henrichs
- 60'
Sub
Antonio Nusa → Rômulo
- 69'
Goal
Luis Díaz league goal #4 assist Michael Olise
- 71'
Sub
Rocco Reitz → Andrija Maksimović
- 77'
Sub
Kim Min-Jae → Sacha Boey
- 90+1'
Goal
Andrija Maksimović league goal #1 assist Brajan Gruda
Category leaders
- Key passesMichael Olise5
- Duels wonBrajan Gruda10/16
- DribblesBrajan Gruda5/7
- Defensive actionsCastello Lukeba8
- ShotsLuis Díaz6 (on target 4)
- Fouls wonAntonio Nusa3
#Bundesliga#Bayern München#RB Leipzig#Luis Díaz#Harry Kane#Michael Olise
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.