Bologna 1-3 Inter: Pobega's early goal undone by three in reply
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- xG 0.98 v 3.41: the better chances were Inter's
- Five saves for Skorupski in a 3-1 defeat
- Akanji won 9 of 10 duels
Bologna's lead was gone before the break
Tommaso Pobega put Bologna ahead in the 10th minute, set up by Juan Miranda, but the lead lasted only until the 44th. Marcus Thuram, with his fourth league goal of the season, levelled from Nicolò Barella's pass. Inter then added two more after the interval to complete a comeback win.
Bologna were pushed well below their norm
Bologna had far less of the ball than their average over six matches this season, and the xG of 3.41 they conceded was far above their usual 0.96. Federico Bernardeschi, new in the starting XI, at least put both of his shots on target.
Inter shot less often but better
Inter had fewer shots than their average over eight matches this season, yet their xG per shot of 0.20 was above the usual 0.13. The data suggests better chances rather than more of them. Bologna's figure for the same measure was 0.09.
The 69th-minute goal hit Bologna hardest
Combining both sides, the biggest change in FN xPts came from Carlos Augusto's goal, set up by Piotr Zieliński. It was worth +1.2 FN xPts to Inter, while Bologna's FN xPts were −0.8. The substitute later provided the assist for Ange-Yoan Bonny's goal in the 83rd minute.
FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
Manuel Akanji 8.5Dominant
He won nine of his ten duels and added four tackles and three interceptions.
Akanji's claim to FN MOM rests on defending: nine duels won from ten, plus seven tackles and interceptions between them. He also completed all 75 of his passes, so his work fed straight into Inter's build-up. He and the back line conceded only Bologna's 10th-minute goal, while Inter's own scoring began in the 44th.
Game state
1-01-11-21-3
Bologna ahead 34 min · level 35 min · Inter ahead 21 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.
10'
Tommaso Pobega
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Juan Miranda +0.2 · INT −0.7
+0.7
44'
Marcus Thuram
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Nicolò Barella +0.3 · BOL −0.9
+0.9
69'
Carlos Augusto
Goal · scorer +0.8 · assist Piotr Zieliński +0.4 · BOL −0.8
+1.2
83'
Ange-Yoan Bonny
Goal · assist Carlos Augusto · BOL −0.1
+0.2
Bologna
Expected (last two seasons) 0.8Own moments +0.7Opponent moments −1.8Time effect +0.3→ League points won 0
Inter
Expected (last two seasons) 1.9Own moments +2.3Opponent moments −0.7Time effect −0.5→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
BolognaInter
0.98Expected goals (xG)3.41
Compared with usual
Bologna
6 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 1 | 0.83 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 0.98 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 3.41 | 0.96 | |
| Shots | 11 | 12.8 | |
| On target | 4 | 3.5 | |
| Shots faced | 17 | 13 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 35% | 50.7% | |
| Passes | 362 | 456.5 | |
| Corners | 2 | 4 | |
| Fouls | 8 | 13.5 | |
Inter
8 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 3 | 2.8 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.8 | |
| xG | 3.41 | 3 | |
| xG against | 0.98 | 1.6 | |
| Shots | 17 | 23.3 | |
| On target | 8 | 7.8 | |
| Shots faced | 11 | 12.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.2 | 0.13 | |
| Possession | 65% | 61.4% | |
| Passes | 683 | 603.9 | |
| Corners | 7 | 6.1 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 7.8 | |
Timeline
- 10'
Goal
Tommaso Pobega league goal #1 assist Juan Miranda
- 30'
Sub
Roberto Piccoli → Jay Enem
- 34'
Yellow
Arthur Theate
- 35'
Yellow
Francesco Pio Esposito
- 44'
Goal
Marcus Thuram league goal #4 assist Nicolò Barella
- 57'
Yellow
Tommaso Pobega
- 58'
Sub
Francesco Pio Esposito → Ange-Yoan Bonny
- 61'
Yellow
Marcus Thuram
- 63'
Sub
Arthur Theate → Eivind Helland
- 69'
Sub
Federico Dimarco → Carlos Augusto
- 69'
Sub
Luis Henrique → Andy Diouf
- 69'
Goal
Carlos Augusto league goal #2 assist Piotr Zieliński
- 71'
Yellow
Juan Miranda
- 72'
Yellow
Federico Bernardeschi
- 76'
Sub
Nicolò Cambiaghi → Artem Dovbyk
- 76'
Sub
Tommaso Pobega → Nikola Moro
- 79'
Yellow
Carlos Augusto
- 79'
Sub
Piotr Zieliński → Hakan Çalhanoğlu
- 79'
Sub
Marcus Thuram → Henrikh Mkhitaryan
- 83'
Goal
Ange-Yoan Bonny league goal #2 assist Carlos Augusto
Category leaders
- Key passesFederico Dimarco4
- Duels wonManuel Akanji9/10
- DribblesFederico Bernardeschi4/6
- Defensive actionsManuel Akanji7
- ShotsTommaso Pobega3 (on target 1)
#Serie A#Bologna#Inter#Manuel Akanji#Tommaso Pobega#Carlos Augusto
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.