Newcastle 0-1 Aston Villa: 16 shots, one on target
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- One shot on target: Newcastle's season low
- xG 1.56 v 1.14 in Villa's favour
- Clean sheet, about 54 minutes in front
Villa protect a one-goal lead
Aston Villa left St James' Park with a 1-0 clean-sheet win. Johan Manzambi scored in the 36th minute from João Gomes's assist, and it proved the only goal of the match. Villa spent roughly 54 minutes in front, while Newcastle never found an equaliser.
Newcastle's shots lacked bite
Newcastle had 16 shots, more than their season average of 13.9 across eight matches. Yet only one was on target, the lowest of their eight league and cup fixtures this season (average 4.6). Their xG per shot was 0.07, and nine efforts were blocked. Yoane Wissa had the most attempts without testing the goalkeeper, which suggests volume rather than quality.
Changes in Villa's XI paid off
Unai Emery's side made four changes, bringing in Tyrone Mings, Gomes, Alysson Edward and Emiliano Buendía. Gomes provided the assist, while Buendía made eight defensive actions, the most of any player. Villa's xG of 1.56 beat Newcastle's 1.14, and the 1.14 they allowed was below their nine-match season average of 1.7. Boubacar Kamara won 10 of his 15 duels.
The 36th-minute goal set the tone
The goal was worth +0.8 FN xPts to Villa, while Newcastle's FN xPts fell by 0.7. Newcastle introduced William Osula and Bazoumana Touré in the 56th minute, but the scoreline stayed the same. They also collected six yellow cards to Villa's two. Having conceded first, they never recovered the deficit.
FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
Johan Manzambi 7.9Strong
He scored the 36th-minute opener and added three shots and two key passes.
Manzambi, the FN MOM, earned most of his credit in attack. His goal was the only one of the match and his second in the league this season. Before being replaced by Ibrahim Mbaye in the 72nd minute, he also made two blocks and an interception. That gave Villa an advantage they never relinquished.
Game state
0-1
Newcastle ahead 0 min · level 36 min · Aston Villa ahead 54 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.
36'
Johan Manzambi
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist João Gomes +0.2 · NEW −0.7
+0.8
Newcastle
Expected (last two seasons) 1.8Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.7Time effect −1.1→ League points won 0
Aston Villa
Expected (last two seasons) 0.9Own moments +0.8Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +1.3→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
NewcastleAston Villa
1.14Expected goals (xG)1.56
Compared with usual
Newcastle
8 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1.8 | low |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.9 | |
| xG | 1.14 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 1.56 | 1.8 | |
| Shots | 16 | 13.9 | |
| On target | 1 | 4.6 | low |
| Shots faced | 15 | 16 | |
| xG per shot | 0.07 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 49% | 54% | |
| Passes | 401 | 449.5 | |
| Corners | 4 | 6.1 | |
| Fouls | 14 | 12.1 | |
Aston Villa
9 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 1 | 2 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1.6 | |
| xG | 1.56 | 1.6 | |
| xG against | 1.14 | 1.7 | |
| Shots | 15 | 14.1 | |
| On target | 3 | 5.3 | |
| Shots faced | 16 | 15.4 | |
| xG per shot | 0.1 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 51% | 46.8% | |
| Passes | 432 | 408.7 | |
| Corners | 5 | 4.4 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 11.3 | |
Timeline
- 18'
Yellow
Joelinton
- 18'
Yellow
Sven Botman
- 25'
Yellow
João Gomes
- 28'
Yellow
Alysson Edward
- 36'
Goal
Johan Manzambi league goal #2 assist João Gomes
- 45'
Sub
Alysson Edward → J. McGinn
- 53'
Yellow
Nico González
- 55'
Yellow
Yoane Wissa
- 56'
Sub
Joe Willock → William Osula
- 56'
Sub
Matias Fernandez → Bazoumana Touré
- 72'
Sub
Johan Manzambi → Ibrahim Mbaye
- 72'
Sub
João Gomes → Ross Barkley
- 72'
Sub
Emiliano Buendía → Leon Goretzka
- 77'
Sub
Aaron Wan-Bissaka → Pau Torres
- 78'
Yellow
William Osula
- 86'
Yellow
Malick Thiaw
- 90'
Sub
Joelinton → Dan Burn
Category leaders
- Key passesLewis Miley3
- Duels wonBoubacar Kamara10/15
- DribblesIbrahim Mbaye3/4
- Defensive actionsEmiliano Buendía8
- ShotsYoane Wissa7 (on target 0)
- Fouls wonBoubacar Kamara4
#Newcastle#Aston Villa#Premier League#Johan Manzambi#FN Score#Matchweek 7
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.