Lorient 1-0 Monaco: one penalty and four saves are enough
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- Shots 9 v 15: Lorient won with fewer attempts
- xG per shot 0.18 v 0.05 favoured Lorient
- Mvogo made 4 saves to protect the lead
A goalless half and a penalty to break it
Lorient beat Monaco 1-0 at the Stade du Moustoir in a match that stayed goalless through the first half. The only goal was Noah Cadiou's penalty in the 61st minute, and the hosts then protected that lead for roughly 29 minutes. It was Cadiou's first league goal of the season.
Monaco's shots were plentiful but light
Monaco had more of the ball and more shots, but little to show for either. Their xG per shot was just 0.05, against an average of 0.12 across six matches this season. The numbers suggest plenty of low-value attempts rather than clear openings.
Lorient did more with less
Lorient shot far less often but got more from it, finishing on 1.66 xG to Monaco's 0.71. Their xG per shot was also higher than their average in earlier matches this season. Behind them, Yvon Mvogo's four saves kept that edge intact.
The deadlock broke and the points moved
Everything hinged on the moment the deadlock broke. Noah Cadiou's penalty in the 61st minute was worth +1.0 FN xPts to Lorient, while Monaco's FN xPts fell by 0.8. Nothing after that changed the scoreline, so a single spot-kick decided the points.
FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
Vanderson 7.8Strong
He made five tackles and two interceptions and won seven of nine duels.
An FN MOM from the beaten side. Vanderson also completed 68 of 78 passes and created two chances, so he worked at both ends while Monaco held 58% of the ball. Because his team lost without scoring, he lost ground in the result category of the FN Score, but his defensive work outweighed that.
Game state
1-0
Lorient ahead 29 min · level 61 min · Monaco ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.
61'
Noah Cadiou
Pen goal · ASM −0.8
+1.0
Lorient
Expected (last two seasons) 1.5Own moments +1.0Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.5→ League points won 3
Monaco
Expected (last two seasons) 1.2Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.8Time effect −0.4→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
LorientMonaco
1.66Expected goals (xG)0.71
Compared with usual
Lorient
6 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1 | |
| xG | 1.66 | 1.1 | |
| xG against | 0.71 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 9 | 10 | |
| On target | 3 | 3.5 | |
| Shots faced | 15 | 13.7 | |
| xG per shot | 0.18 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 42% | 46.7% | |
| Passes | 478 | 485.7 | |
| Corners | 3 | 2.5 | |
| Fouls | 10 | 9.2 | |
Monaco
6 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1.7 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0.83 | |
| xG | 0.71 | 1.3 | |
| xG against | 1.66 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 15 | 11.2 | |
| On target | 4 | 4.5 | |
| Shots faced | 9 | 14.2 | |
| xG per shot | 0.05 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 58% | 47% | |
| Passes | 660 | 480.5 | |
| Corners | 4 | 3.7 | |
| Fouls | 16 | 10.8 | |
Timeline
- 52'
Sub
Takumi Minamino → Edan Diop
- 57'
Yellow
Mohammed Salisu
- 60'
Yellow
Denis Zakaria
- 60'
Yellow
Flávio Nazinho
- 61'
Goal
Noah Cadiou (pen) league goal #1
- 66'
Sub
Ansu Fati → Folarin Balogun
- 66'
Sub
Denis Zakaria → Mathys Detourbet
- 66'
Sub
Mohammed Salisu → Christian Mawissa
- 66'
Yellow
Noah Cadiou
- 71'
Sub
Ibrahima Baldé → Mamadou Koné
- 75'
Sub
Matthis Abline → Mika Biereth
- 76'
Yellow
Arsène Kouassi
- 79'
Sub
Gabin Bernardeau → Souleymane Faye
- 80'
Yellow
Christian Mawissa
Category leaders
- Key passesAleksandr Golovin4
- Duels wonVanderson7/9
- DribblesArsène Kouassi4/7
- Defensive actionsVanderson7
- ShotsGabin Bernardeau3 (on target 0)
- Fouls wonJean Victor Makengo4
#Lorient#Monaco#Ligue 1#Noah Cadiou#Vanderson#Yvon Mvogo
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.