Real Madrid 4-1 Sevilla: Diomande scores and sets one up
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- 65% possession, their highest this season
- 4 goals from 2.32 xG, a 1.68 overperformance
- Sevilla conceded 4, a season high
Madrid had the match in hand by the break
Real Madrid took control with goals in the 30th and 37th minutes. Arda Güler finished from a Yan Diomande pass, and Kylian Mbappé added a second with Jude Bellingham providing the assist. From then on Sevilla were chasing the match for about 60 minutes, and they never found a way back into it.
More possession, far fewer corners
Madrid's 65% possession was their highest of the season so far, yet it brought only one corner, against an average of seven. That suggests the extra time on the ball did not translate into sustained pressure on Sevilla's box. Their shot count was also below their season average.
Finishing outran the chances
Madrid scored four from an xG of 2.32, outperforming it by 1.68. Their xG per shot of 0.15 was double Sevilla's 0.07. Sevilla got plenty of shots away inside the box, but the quality was poor, and four goals conceded is their worst return in any match this season.
Güler's opener changed the shape of the match
The 30th-minute goal was the biggest moment of the match when both sides' changes are combined: worth +0.5 FN xPts to Madrid and −0.4 for Sevilla. Güler, a new starter, also led all players with three key passes. When Manu Bueno pulled one back, Diomande answered almost immediately.
FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
Yan Diomande 8.7Dominant
He scored once, assisted once and had four shots, winning three of five dribbles.
Diomande earned most of his credit going forward. He set up Güler's opener in the 30th minute, then stepped in himself in the 82nd, just two minutes after Sevilla had pulled a goal back. That reply returned Madrid's lead to three goals and ended any hope of a late comeback.
Game state
1-02-03-03-14-1
Real Madrid ahead 60 min · level 30 min · Sevilla ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.
30'
Arda Güler
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Yan Diomande +0.2 · SEV −0.4
+0.5
37'
Kylian Mbappé
Goal · scorer +0.2 · assist Jude Bellingham +0.1 · SEV −0.2
+0.3
63'
Kylian Mbappé
Pen goal · SEV 0.0
+0.1
80'
Manu Bueno
Goal · assist Lucas Stassin · RMA 0.0
0.0
82'
Yan Diomande
Goal · assist Aurélien Tchouaméni · SEV 0.0
0.0
Real Madrid
Expected (last two seasons) 2.2Own moments +0.9Opponent moments 0.0Time effect −0.1→ League points won 3
Sevilla
Expected (last two seasons) 0.6Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.6Time effect 0.0→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
Real MadridSevilla
2.32Expected goals (xG)0.81
Compared with usual
Real Madrid
10 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 4 | 2.5 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.2 | |
| xG | 2.32 | 2.4 | |
| xG against | 0.81 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 15 | 17.5 | |
| On target | 8 | 7.3 | |
| Shots faced | 11 | 13.9 | |
| xG per shot | 0.15 | 0.13 | |
| Possession | 65% | 49.5% | high |
| Passes | 666 | 489.9 | high |
| Corners | 1 | 7 | |
| Fouls | 10 | 8.7 | |
Sevilla
8 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.6 | |
| Conceded | 4 | 1.5 | high |
| xG | 0.81 | 1.1 | |
| xG against | 2.32 | 1.4 | |
| Shots | 11 | 11.9 | |
| On target | 5 | 4.3 | |
| Shots faced | 15 | 12.4 | |
| xG per shot | 0.07 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 35% | 42.3% | |
| Passes | 350 | 343.1 | |
| Corners | 2 | 3.1 | |
| Fouls | 14 | 14.8 | |
Timeline
- 23'
Yellow
Félix Correia
- 23'
Yellow
Dean Huijsen
- 30'
Goal
Arda Güler league goal #2 assist Yan Diomande
- 37'
Goal
Kylian Mbappé league goal #8 assist Jude Bellingham
- 45'
Sub
Ruben Vargas → Chidera Ejuke
- 56'
Sub
Robbie Ure → Lucas Stassin
- 56'
Sub
Peque Fernández → Manu Bueno
- 63'
Goal
Kylian Mbappé (pen) league goal #9
- 69'
Yellow
Juan Iglesias
- 69'
Sub
Endrick → Brahim Díaz
- 70'
Sub
Jude Bellingham → Bernardo Silva
- 72'
Sub
Juan Iglesias → José Ángel Carmona
- 73'
Sub
Félix Correia → Alfon González
- 73'
Yellow
Marc Cucurella
- 78'
Sub
Arda Güler → Eduardo Camavinga
- 80'
Goal
Manu Bueno league goal #1 assist Lucas Stassin
- 82'
Goal
Yan Diomande league goal #2 assist Aurélien Tchouaméni
- 85'
Sub
Kylian Mbappé → Carlos Espí
- 85'
Sub
Federico Valverde → Éder Militão
Category leaders
- Key passesArda Güler3
- Duels wonJude Bellingham7/12
- DribblesKylian Mbappé4/5
- Defensive actionsLucien Agoumé7
- ShotsKylian Mbappé5 (on target 3)
- Fouls wonJude Bellingham3
#Real Madrid#Sevilla#La Liga#Yan Diomande#Kylian Mbappé#Arda Güler
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.