UEFA Champions League · League phase MD3
HT 0:0
Guus Til 57'
Tue, 20 Oct 2026, 20:00 (UK) · Estádio do Dragão, Porto

A single Guus Til goal, backed by a sturdy PSV Eindhoven back line, won the match in Porto.

FN MOMSergiño Dest8.2Decisive moment57' Guus Til+1.1POR −0.9

Porto 0-1 PSV Eindhoven: Til strikes as Dest anchors the back

Key numbers

  • xG 1.45 v 1.69: an even contest
  • 57': Til scores, PSV lead for about 33 minutes
  • Kovář: three saves, clean sheet

A narrow win in an even contest

The first half passed without a goal, and the only one arrived in the 57th minute, when Guus Til scored with Sven Mijnans providing the assist. The expected-goals figures were close between the sides – Porto 1.45, PSV Eindhoven 1.69 – so the one-goal margin reflects a tight match rather than a lopsided one.

Plenty of shots, little punch

Both sides shot freely, but expected goals per shot sat around 0.1 for each, a sign of modest threat per shot. PSV Eindhoven had 12 attempts from inside the box, while Matěj Kovář made three saves to keep Porto's efforts on target out of the net.

Dest and Gasiorowski stood firm

The FN MOM, Sergiño Dest, won five of his seven duels, and Yarek Gasiorowski recorded seven defensive actions before being substituted, the most of anyone in the match. With those two holding firm, PSV Eindhoven finished with a clean sheet.

One goal rewrote the expected points

Til's goal was worth +1.1 FN xPts to PSV Eindhoven, while Porto's FN xPts fell by 0.9 as the match moved from level to a one-goal deficit. Porto replaced three starters in the very next minute, and André Silva, one of the arrivals, put a shot on target, but the equaliser never came.

FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
Sergiño Dest 8.2Dominant

He recorded tackles, interceptions, duels and passes across the full 90 minutes.

Dest's points came mostly from defending: he won five of seven duels, made three tackles and two interceptions, and blocked a shot. He also completed 53 of 58 passes and succeeded with both of his dribbles, so he helped PSV move up the pitch as well as protect the lead after Til's 57th-minute goal.

Game state

0-1
FC Porto ahead 0 min · level 57 min · PSV Eindhoven ahead 33 min

FN xPts — what each moment was worth

How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.

57' Guus Til Goal · scorer +0.8 · assist Sven Mijnans +0.3 · POR −0.9 +1.1
FC Porto Expected (no record yet, starting estimate) 1.6Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.9Time effect −0.7→ League points won 0
PSV Eindhoven Expected (no record yet, starting estimate) 1.2Own moments +1.1Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.7→ League points won 3

Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.

How FN Score and FN xPts work →

Match stats

FC PortoPSV Eindhoven
40%Possession60%
1.45Expected goals (xG)1.69
0.1xG per shot0.09
14Shots18
4Shots on target3
29%Shots on target %17%
8Shots in box12
421Passes616
2Corners3
2Saves3
7Fouls9
0Yellow cards2
5Offsides3

Timeline

  • 39' Yellow Lutsharel Geertruida
  • 57' Goal Guus Til competition goal #1 assist Sven Mijnans
  • 58' Sub Samu → André Silva
  • 58' Sub O. Pietuszewski → Borja Sainz
  • 58' Sub Gabri Veiga → Hwang In-Beom
  • 69' Sub Zaidu Sanusi → Souza
  • 74' Sub Yarek Gasiorowski → Armando Obispo
  • 75' Yellow Mauro Júnior
  • 76' Sub Victor Mow Froholdt → Seko Fofana
  • 81' Sub Mauro Júnior → Noah Fernandez
  • 81' Sub Esmir Bajraktarević → Dennis Man
  • 88' Sub Ivan Perišić → A. Bouhamdi
  • 88' Sub Filip Kostić → Ryan Flamingo

Category leaders

  • Key passesEsmir Bajraktarević4
  • Duels wonAlberto Baio8/13
  • DribblesAlberto Baio2/4
  • Defensive actionsYarek Gasiorowski7
  • ShotsEsmir Bajraktarević4 (on target 1)
#Champions League#FC Porto#PSV Eindhoven#Sergiño Dest#Guus Til#Sven Mijnans

This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.