Aston Villa 3-1 Viking: ten shots on target, one busy goalkeeper
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- 10 shots on target vs a season average of 5.1
- xG 2.75 v 0.81: Villa created the better chances
- Villa led for 67 of the 90 minutes
Villa in front for 67 minutes
Ross Barkley's opener put Aston Villa ahead, and the hosts stayed in front for 67 minutes from there. Emiliano Buendía's penalty and Henrik Heggheim's own goal made it 3-0, and Viking's reply, from P. Christiansen, did not arrive until the 84th minute. By then the match was long settled.
Shot volume well above the norm
Villa's ten shots on target were far above their season average of 5.1. That average spans 10 matches, and xG per shot stayed close to the norm, which suggests Villa won through more attempts rather than better ones. Their corner count also sat well above the season average, another sign of sustained pressure.
Østbø limited the damage
Viking goalkeeper Arild Østbø made eight saves, and the goals he conceded included a penalty and an own goal. At the other end, Viking's own attack managed an xG of 0.81 and three shots on target. That gap in output, more than any single error, explains why the margin stretched to three goals.
New starters set the tone
Two of the changes to Villa's starting XI paid off at once: Ibrahim Mbaye provided the assist and Barkley the finish. The 23rd-minute goal was worth +0.6 FN xPts to Villa and −0.5 to Viking, the largest combined change of the match. Buendía's penalty in the 37th minute then doubled the lead.
FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
Ibrahim Mbaye 7.7Strong
An assist and three key passes created Villa's opener.
Mbaye's pass set up the opener, which broke the 0-0 deadlock before Villa went on to hold the lead for the rest of the match. His one shot was on target, and he added two interceptions. He won only two of nine duels, so his value came from creating rather than from physical contests.
Game state
1-02-03-03-1
Aston Villa ahead 67 min · level 23 min · Viking ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.
23'
Ross Barkley
Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist Ibrahim Mbaye +0.2 · VIK −0.5
+0.6
37'
Emiliano Buendía
Pen goal · VIK −0.2
+0.4
62'
Henrik Heggheim
Own goal · AVL +0.1
0.0
84'
P. Christiansen
Goal · assist Kristoffer Askildsen · AVL 0.0
0.0
Aston Villa
Expected (last two seasons) 2.0Own moments +1.0Opponent moments +0.1Time effect −0.1→ League points won 3
Viking
Expected (no record yet, starting estimate) 0.8Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.7Time effect −0.1→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
Aston VillaViking
2.75Expected goals (xG)0.81
Compared with usual
Aston Villa
10 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1.9 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.4 | |
| xG | 2.75 | 1.6 | |
| xG against | 0.81 | 1.7 | |
| Shots | 21 | 14.2 | |
| On target | 10 | 5.1 | |
| Shots faced | 10 | 15.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.13 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 54% | 47.2% | |
| Passes | 524 | 411 | |
| Corners | 8 | 4.5 | |
| Fouls | 7 | 11.3 | |
Timeline
- 23'
Goal
Ross Barkley competition goal #3 assist Ibrahim Mbaye
- 35'
VAR
Alysson Edward
- 37'
Goal
Emiliano Buendía (pen) competition goal #2
- 62'
Goal
Henrik Heggheim (OG)
- 63'
Sub
T. Moi → H. Bjørdal
- 63'
Sub
Erik Botheim → S. Kvia-Egeskog
- 70'
Sub
Ross Barkley → Leon Goretzka
- 70'
Sub
Nicolas Jackson → Tammy Abraham
- 70'
Sub
João Gomes → Matty Cash
- 72'
Sub
Ibrahim Mbaye → Alejandro Garnacho
- 75'
Sub
Alysson Edward → George Hemmings
- 75'
Sub
Jesper Daland → A. Cosic
- 75'
Sub
Z. Tripić → Vetle Auklend
- 84'
Goal
P. Christiansen assist Kristoffer Askildsen
- 86'
VAR
Kristoffer Askildsen
- 86'
Sub
H. Haugen → E. Bassey
Category leaders
- Key passesIbrahim Mbaye3
- Duels wonAlysson Edward6/10
- DribblesAlysson Edward4/6
- Defensive actionsG. Stensness5
- ShotsEmiliano Buendía7 (on target 3)
#Aston Villa#Viking#Champions League#Ibrahim Mbaye#Ross Barkley#Emiliano Buendía
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.