Bayern Munich 2-2 Arsenal: Rice restores parity after Kane's penalty
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- xG 2.55 v 1.42: Bayern had the better chances
- 42% possession, Bayern's lowest of nine this season
- Rice's 82' equaliser: Bayern −1.5 FN xPts
Evenly traded goals, then a late leveller
Eberechi Eze put Arsenal ahead and Alphonso Davies, new to Bayern's starting XI, equalised before the break to make it 1-1. Harry Kane's penalty then put the hosts back in front, but Declan Rice levelled again in the 82nd minute. Bayern's lead had lasted only about 21 minutes.
Fewer shots, better ones
Bayern's 42% possession was their lowest of the nine matches they have played this season, yet their expected goals reached 2.55, above Arsenal's total. Their shots were fewer than usual, but each carried more xG than their season average. It looks like a side that found good positions without needing the ball for long.
Arsenal survived a season-high xG against
Arsenal faced 2.55 xG, the highest they have conceded in a match this season, and still scored twice. Eze, who began on the bench, took the opener from Martin Ødegaard's pass and finished with nine duels won from 13. That physical work in midfield helped Arsenal stay in touch.
Rice's goal cost Bayern most
Kane's penalty gave Bayern the lead, but Rice's 82nd-minute goal, set up by Gyökeres' assist after he came on as a substitute, moved the numbers most. Bayern lost 1.5 in expected points (FN xPts −1.5), and combined with Arsenal's gain it was the largest change of the match.
FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
Declan Rice 8.7Dominant
Six tackles, nine of 12 duels won and an 82nd-minute equaliser made him the FN MOM.
Rice's work came in the middle of the pitch: seven defensive actions, the most on either side, and 69 accurate passes from 77 kept Arsenal's possession ticking over. He added two key passes and then scored the 82nd-minute equaliser himself, wiping out a lead Bayern had held for about 21 minutes.
Game state
0-11-12-12-2
Bayern München ahead 21 min · level 59 min · Arsenal ahead 10 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.
25'
Eberechi Eze
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Martin Ødegaard +0.2 · FCB −0.7
+0.7
35'
Alphonso Davies
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Harry Kane +0.2 · ARS −0.8
+0.8
61'
Harry Kane
Pen goal · ARS −0.7
+1.0
82'
Declan Rice
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Viktor Gyökeres +0.3 · FCB −1.5
+0.9
Bayern München
Expected (last two seasons) 1.8Own moments +1.8Opponent moments −2.2Time effect −0.4→ League points won 1
Arsenal
Expected (last two seasons) 0.9Own moments +1.6Opponent moments −1.5Time effect 0.0→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
Bayern MünchenArsenal
2.55Expected goals (xG)1.42
Compared with usual
Bayern München
9 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 2 | 3.8 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1 | |
| xG | 2.55 | 3.6 | |
| xG against | 1.42 | 0.9 | |
| Shots | 13 | 24.1 | low |
| On target | 5 | 10.1 | |
| Shots faced | 14 | 7 | high |
| xG per shot | 0.2 | 0.15 | |
| Possession | 42% | 68.1% | low |
| Passes | 434 | 694.7 | low |
| Corners | 3 | 9.7 | low |
| Fouls | 15 | 9.4 | |
Arsenal
10 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.9 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0.7 | |
| xG | 1.42 | 1.7 | |
| xG against | 2.55 | 0.75 | high |
| Shots | 14 | 14.1 | |
| On target | 5 | 5.3 | |
| Shots faced | 13 | 9.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.1 | 0.13 | |
| Possession | 58% | 60.3% | |
| Passes | 502 | 538.1 | |
| Corners | 5 | 4.9 | |
| Fouls | 6 | 10.8 | |
Timeline
- 10'
Sub
Bukayo Saka → Eberechi Eze
- 13'
Yellow
Kai Havertz
- 25'
Goal
Eberechi Eze competition goal #2 assist Martin Ødegaard
- 26'
VAR
Eberechi Eze
- 35'
Goal
Alphonso Davies competition goal #2 assist Harry Kane
- 39'
Yellow
Ezri Konsa
- 45'
Sub
Kim Min-Jae → Jonathan Tah
- 61'
Goal
Harry Kane (pen) competition goal #4
- 68'
Sub
Ismael Saibari → Luis Díaz
- 68'
Sub
Serge Gnabry → Lennart Karl
- 68'
Sub
Kai Havertz → Viktor Gyökeres
- 69'
Sub
Bruno Guimarães → Myles Lewis-Skelly
- 82'
Goal
Declan Rice competition goal #1 assist Viktor Gyökeres
- 85'
Sub
Martin Ødegaard → Mikel Merino
- 85'
Sub
Alphonso Davies → Nathaniel Brown
- 90'
Sub
Luis Díaz → Bara Ndiaye
Category leaders
- Key passesMartin Ødegaard3
- Duels wonEberechi Eze9/13
- DribblesAlphonso Davies3/5
- Defensive actionsDeclan Rice7
- ShotsHarry Kane4 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonEberechi Eze4
#Champions League#Bayern Munich#Arsenal#Declan Rice#Harry Kane#Eberechi Eze
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.