Beşiktaş 2-2 Crystal Palace: Olaitan levels after Palace's double
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- 5 shots: fewest Palace conceded in 10 matches
- xG 0.42: Palace's lowest in 10 matches
- 73' equaliser: −1.3 FN xPts for Palace
Quick double undoes the half-time lead
Beşiktaş went in at the break ahead through Wilfred Ndidi's goal in first-half stoppage time, only to lose the lead within minutes of the restart. Crystal Palace scored twice early in the second half before Junior Olaitan levelled, and the match finished 2-2. Beşiktaş led for around six minutes in total and trailed for around 18, a measure of how sharply the match turned after the interval.
Few shots, but both on target scored
Beşiktaş managed only five shots, the fewest Crystal Palace have allowed in their 10 matches this season. Yet both of their shots on target ended up in the net. Efficiency, not volume, kept the hosts in it, and Palace goalkeeper Walter Benítez was not credited with a single save. Palace restricted the quantity but could not keep out either effort that did test him.
Palace scored despite modest shot quality
Palace's own numbers were modest too. Their xG was the lowest in their 10 matches this season, and their xG per shot was the lowest as well. That they still scored twice owed much to Yeremy Pino, whose three key passes were the most in the match and who also found the net. Jean-Philippe Mateta's goal was his first in this competition.
Olaitan's introduction restored the balance
Olaitan started on the bench in a Beşiktaş side that went into the match with a new-look midfield and defence, then came on to level it. His goal was worth +0.9 FN xPts to Beşiktaş and −1.3 to Palace, the largest combined change of the match. A substitute levelled it, and even after Ü. Akdağ was sent off in the 77th minute, with Beşiktaş playing the closing stretch with ten men, the scoreline held.
FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
Wilfred Ndidi 7.8Strong
He scored in first-half stoppage time and won 10 of his 15 duels.
Ndidi's FN Score was built mostly on attacking output, led by the goal that gave Beşiktaş a half-time lead. His midfield work mattered just as much once the match turned: two interceptions and two tackles kept him involved after Palace struck twice early in the second half, and he played all 90 minutes.
Game state
1-01-11-22-2
Beşiktaş ahead 6 min · level 66 min · Crystal Palace ahead 18 min
- Beşiktaş: Red card 77' → ~13 min a player down
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.
45+2'
Wilfred Ndidi
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Salih Özcan +0.3 · CRY −0.8
+1.0
51'
Yeremy Pino
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Anan Khalaili +0.3 · BJK −1.0
+0.9
55'
Jean-Philippe Mateta
Goal · BJK −0.8
+1.0
73'
Junior Olaitan
Goal · CRY −1.3
+0.9
77'
Ü. Akdağ
Red card · CRY +0.2
−0.2
Beşiktaş
Expected (no record yet, starting estimate) 1.1Own moments +1.7Opponent moments −1.8Time effect 0.0→ League points won 1
Crystal Palace
Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments +1.9Opponent moments −1.9Time effect −0.6→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
BeşiktaşCrystal Palace
0.71Expected goals (xG)0.42
Compared with usual
Crystal Palace
10 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.8 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| xG | 0.42 | 1.4 | low |
| xG against | 0.71 | 2 | low |
| Shots | 8 | 10.7 | |
| On target | 3 | 4.1 | |
| Shots faced | 5 | 16.9 | low |
| xG per shot | 0.05 | 0.14 | low |
| Possession | 41% | 44.7% | |
| Passes | 356 | 427.2 | |
| Corners | 3 | 3.2 | |
| Fouls | 16 | 9.9 | high |
Timeline
- 6'
VAR
Jean-Philippe Mateta
- 15'
Yellow
Wilfred Ndidi
- 39'
Sub
Fabio Miretti → Salih Özcan
- 45+1'
Yellow
Yeremy Pino
- 45+2'
Goal
Wilfred Ndidi assist Salih Özcan
- 51'
Goal
Yeremy Pino competition goal #3 assist Anan Khalaili
- 51'
VAR
Yeremy Pino
- 55'
Goal
Jean-Philippe Mateta competition goal #1
- 61'
Sub
Dwight McNeil → Ismaïla Sarr
- 61'
Sub
Jean-Philippe Mateta → Jørgen Strand Larsen
- 64'
Sub
Kartal Kayra Yılmaz → Junior Olaitan
- 64'
Sub
Taylan Bulut → Amir Murillo
- 66'
Yellow
Ü. Akdağ
- 72'
Sub
Yeremy Pino → Darío Osorio
- 73'
Goal
Junior Olaitan
- 75'
Sub
Oh Hyeon-Gyu → Dušan Vlahović
- 75'
Sub
Ilhan Fakili → Václav Černý
- 77'
Red
Ü. Akdağ
- 85'
Sub
Jørgen Strand Larsen → Eddie Nketiah
Category leaders
- Key passesYeremy Pino3
- Duels wonWilfred Ndidi10/15
- DribblesJunior Olaitan2/3
- Defensive actionsDwight McNeil7
- Fouls wonLeandro Trossard4
#Beşiktaş#Crystal Palace#Europa League#Wilfred Ndidi#Junior Olaitan#Yeremy Pino
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.