Celje 2-2 Salzburg: two goals down, level at the death
Short review AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- Salzburg led for 81 of 90 minutes
- xG per shot 0.19 v 0.11, Celje sharper
- 90' equaliser: +1.0 FN xPts for Celje
Salzburg lead, Celje shoot better
Celje and Red Bull Salzburg drew 2-2, with the visitors in front for most of the match. Salzburg went two goals up early in the second half, yet Celje created the better shots, averaging 0.19 xG each against Salzburg's 0.11.
Kučys rescues a point from the bench
Armandas Kučys, on as a substitute in the 81st minute, scored a late equaliser in the 90th from Yaya Dukuly's assist. It was worth +1.0 FN xPts to Celje, while Salzburg's FN xPts fell by 1.8. Blaž Kramer had pulled one back in the 50th minute.
FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
Damir Redzic 8.7Dominant
He set up both Salzburg goals and created six chances.
The FN MOM did his work almost entirely in attack, where six key passes and three successful dribbles from five attempts fed Salzburg's front line. Both goals that put the visitors two ahead, in the 9th and 46th minutes, came from his passes.
Game state
0-10-21-22-2
Celje ahead 0 min · level 9 min · Red Bull Salzburg ahead 81 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.
9'
Sota Kitano
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Damir Redzic +0.2 · CLJ −0.7
+0.7
46'
Jesper Lindstrøm
Goal · scorer +0.4 · assist Damir Redzic +0.2 · CLJ −0.4
+0.6
50'
Blaž Kramer
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Svit Sešlar +0.1 · RBS −0.6
+0.4
90'
Armandas Kučys
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Yaya Dukuly +0.3 · RBS −1.8
+1.0
Celje
Expected (no record yet, starting estimate) 1.6Own moments +1.4Opponent moments −1.1Time effect −0.9→ League points won 1
Red Bull Salzburg
Expected (no record yet, starting estimate) 1.2Own moments +1.3Opponent moments −2.4Time effect +0.9→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
CeljeRed Bull Salzburg
1.68Expected goals (xG)1.62
Timeline
- 9'
Goal
Sota Kitano assist Damir Redzic
- 32'
Yellow
Artemijus Tutyškinas
- 35'
Yellow
Damir Redzic
- 43'
Yellow
Pijus Širvys
- 45'
Sub
Yorbe Vertessen → Jesper Lindstrøm
- 45'
Sub
Umut Tohumcu → B. Mazurek
- 46'
Goal
Jesper Lindstrøm assist Damir Redzic
- 50'
Goal
Blaž Kramer competition goal #1 assist Svit Sešlar
- 60'
Sub
Veton Tusha → Yaya Dukuly
- 65'
Sub
Sota Kitano → G. Diakité
- 81'
Sub
Benjamin Verbič → Armandas Kučys
- 81'
Sub
Pijus Širvys → Ž. Žužek
- 83'
Sub
Damir Redzic → Frans Krätzig
- 90'
Goal
Armandas Kučys competition goal #1 assist Yaya Dukuly
- 90+2'
Yellow
B. Mazurek
- 90+4'
Sub
Mario Kvesić → Darko Hrka
Category leaders
- Key passesDamir Redzic6
- Duels wonMilot Avdyli11/15
- DribblesMilot Avdyli4/5
- Defensive actionsLeandro Morgalla8
- ShotsA. Barry4 (on target 0)
- Fouls wonUmut Tohumcu4
#Celje#Red Bull Salzburg#Europa League#Damir Redzic#Armandas Kučys
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.