Celtic 1-2 Celta Vigo: Javi Rodríguez's double turns it round
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- 22 shots, a season high across 11 matches
- xG 0.59 v 1.27: Celta had the better chances
- Javi Rodríguez: goals at 68' and 71'
Celtic's lead lasted until the 68th minute
Celtic went in level at the break and took the lead through Mika Baur in the 47th minute. Celta Vigo answered in the 68th minute, when Javi Rodríguez scored from Hugo Álvarez's assist, and he added a second in the 71st. A quickfire double reversed the scoreline, and Celtic found no way back before full-time.
Plenty of shots, but of modest quality
Celta Vigo's 22 shots were a season high from 11 matches, but 14 of them came from outside the box. Their xG per shot was below their season average, which points to volume rather than clean looks. Even so, their total xG finished ahead of Celtic's, which fits with the result.
More of the ball, fewer fouls
Celta also controlled the ball: 649 passes were a season high, and five fouls were their lowest of the season. Possession finished 56% in their favour. Celtic's xG was also below the average Celta Vigo have conceded this season, which suggests the visitors were rarely stretched at the back.
The equaliser changed the match most
The equaliser did the most damage. It was worth +1.0 FN xPts to Celta Vigo while Celtic's FN xPts was −1.3, the largest combined change of the match. Hugo Álvarez, who set it up, led the match in key passes, and the second goal followed in the 71st minute.
FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
Javi Rodríguez 9.1Dominant
The defender scored both of Celta Vigo's goals, in the 68th and 71st minutes, with two of his three shots on target.
The FN MOM earned most of his credit going forward, but the work behind it was not thin: 76 of 83 passes found a team-mate and he added two tackles and two interceptions. Celta Vigo's only goals in the match were his, and both came after Celtic had gone ahead in the 47th minute, so his finishing reversed the scoreline on its own.
Game state
1-01-11-2
Celtic ahead 21 min · level 50 min · Celta Vigo ahead 19 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.
47'
Mika Baur
Goal · CEL −0.9
+1.0
68'
Javi Rodríguez
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Hugo Álvarez +0.3 · CLT −1.3
+1.0
71'
Javi Rodríguez
Goal · CLT −0.8
+1.3
Celtic
Expected (no record yet, starting estimate) 1.0Own moments +1.0Opponent moments −2.1Time effect +0.1→ League points won 0
Celta Vigo
Expected (last two seasons) 1.8Own moments +2.3Opponent moments −0.9Time effect −0.2→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
CelticCelta Vigo
0.59Expected goals (xG)1.27
Compared with usual
Celta Vigo
11 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0.91 | |
| xG | 1.27 | 0.96 | |
| xG against | 0.59 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 22 | 10.3 | high |
| On target | 4 | 3.3 | |
| Shots faced | 8 | 13.9 | |
| xG per shot | 0.06 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 56% | 50.1% | |
| Passes | 649 | 509.7 | high |
| Corners | 6 | 3.4 | |
| Fouls | 5 | 12.5 | low |
Timeline
- 23'
Yellow
Camilo Durán
- 47'
Goal
Mika Baur competition goal #2
- 58'
Sub
Callum Osmand → James Forrest
- 63'
Sub
Hugo Burcio → Ilaix Moriba
- 63'
Sub
Iago Aspas → Williot Swedberg
- 67'
Yellow
M. O'Neill (coaching staff)
- 68'
Goal
Javi Rodríguez competition goal #1 assist Hugo Álvarez
- 71'
Goal
Javi Rodríguez competition goal #2
- 73'
Sub
Haissem Hassan → Kasper Høgh
- 77'
Sub
Ferran Jutglà → Pablo Durán
- 79'
Sub
Mika Baur → Oliver Sørensen
- 80'
Sub
Camilo Durán → Sebastian Tounekti
- 85'
Yellow
Liam Scales
- 85'
Sub
Hugo Álvarez → Javi Galán
- 85'
Sub
Javi Rueda → Andrés Antañón
- 89'
Yellow
Oliver Sørensen
- 90+2'
Yellow
Colby Donovan
Category leaders
- Key passesHugo Álvarez3
- Duels wonHugo Álvarez6/11
- DribblesHugo Álvarez2/6
- Defensive actionsAleix Febas6
- ShotsAleix Febas4 (on target 0)
- Fouls wonHugo Álvarez4
#Celtic#Celta Vigo#Europa League#Javi Rodríguez#Hugo Álvarez#Mika Baur
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.