Aston Villa 2-1 Manchester City: Jackson's brace, Suzuki's saves
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- xG 0.64, two goals: 1.36 above expectation
- Suzuki made six saves and conceded once
- 21 fouls, a season high across 11 matches
Villa lead for long spells on few shots
Aston Villa beat Manchester City 2-1 thanks to an early lead from the sixth minute that they held for roughly 76 minutes. They managed far fewer shots than their season average, yet the time spent in front meant it hardly mattered.
City had the chances, Suzuki had the answers
Manchester City carried the better chances, with seven shots on target and the higher xG. Yet their only goal was Erling Haaland's equaliser, because Zion Suzuki made six saves and Matty Cash, newly in the starting XI, added eight tackles to the defensive effort.
Villa's finishing outran the shot quality
Both of Villa's shots on target were Jackson goals. Their shots averaged just 0.08 xG, yet the finishing was clinical enough to beat the expected total by 1.36. City, by contrast, scored only once despite an xG of 1.81.
Villa responded straight after the equaliser
Haaland levelled early in the second half, but Villa went ahead again in the 60th minute. Jackson's second, set up by Ibrahim Mbaye, was worth +1.1 FN xPts to Villa and −0.9 to City, the largest combined change of the match. Mbaye had come on a minute earlier.
FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
Nicolas Jackson 8.5Dominant
Both of his shots on target were goals in 82 minutes.
FN MOM Jackson's value came almost entirely from attacking output. He converted both of Villa's shots on target and won eight of 14 duels. His sixth-minute opener, assisted by J. McGinn, began a lead that lasted roughly 76 minutes, and his 60th-minute second restored it after Haaland's equaliser.
Game state
1-01-12-1
Aston Villa ahead 76 min · level 14 min · Manchester City ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.
6'
Nicolas Jackson
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist J. McGinn +0.2 · MCI −0.6
+0.7
52'
Erling Haaland
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Iliman Ndiaye +0.2 · AVL −1.0
+0.8
60'
Nicolas Jackson
Goal · scorer +0.8 · assist Ibrahim Mbaye +0.3 · MCI −0.9
+1.1
Aston Villa
Expected (last two seasons) 1.3Own moments +1.8Opponent moments −1.0Time effect +0.9→ League points won 3
Manchester City
Expected (last two seasons) 1.5Own moments +0.8Opponent moments −1.5Time effect −0.8→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
Aston VillaManchester City
0.64Expected goals (xG)1.81
Compared with usual
Aston Villa
11 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 2 | 2 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.4 | |
| xG | 0.64 | 1.7 | |
| xG against | 1.81 | 1.6 | |
| Shots | 8 | 14.8 | |
| On target | 2 | 5.5 | |
| Shots faced | 15 | 15 | |
| xG per shot | 0.08 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 37% | 47.8% | |
| Passes | 314 | 421.3 | |
| Corners | 4 | 4.8 | |
| Fouls | 21 | 10.9 | high |
Manchester City
11 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 1 | 3 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.1 | |
| xG | 1.81 | 2.3 | |
| xG against | 0.64 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 15 | 16.4 | |
| On target | 7 | 6.3 | |
| Shots faced | 8 | 10.5 | |
| xG per shot | 0.12 | 0.15 | |
| Possession | 63% | 63.3% | |
| Passes | 528 | 637.4 | |
| Corners | 7 | 5.9 | |
| Fouls | 17 | 10.5 | |
Timeline
- 6'
Goal
Nicolas Jackson league goal #3 assist J. McGinn
- 32'
Yellow
Marc Guéhi
- 38'
Yellow
Rayan Cherki
- 45'
Sub
Marc Guéhi → Rico Lewis
- 45'
Sub
Rayan Cherki → Phil Foden
- 52'
Goal
Erling Haaland league goal #9 assist Iliman Ndiaye
- 54'
Yellow
Johan Manzambi
- 55'
Yellow
Matty Cash
- 59'
Sub
Alysson Edward → Ibrahim Mbaye
- 60'
Goal
Nicolas Jackson league goal #4 assist Ibrahim Mbaye
- 66'
Sub
Johan Manzambi → Emiliano Buendía
- 66'
Sub
J. McGinn → Ross Barkley
- 69'
Sub
Iliman Ndiaye → Ryan McAidoo
- 74'
Yellow
Elliot Anderson
- 76'
Yellow
Ryan McAidoo
- 82'
Sub
Nicolas Jackson → Brian Madjo
- 82'
Sub
João Gomes → Leon Goretzka
- 83'
Yellow
Brian Madjo
- 90+5'
Yellow
Emiliano Buendía
Category leaders
- Key passesJ. McGinn4
- Duels wonJérémy Doku12/24
- DribblesJérémy Doku8/18
- Defensive actionsAbdukodir Khusanov10
- ShotsJérémy Doku3 (on target 0)
- Fouls wonJérémy Doku4
#Premier League#Aston Villa#Manchester City#Nicolas Jackson#Erling Haaland#Zion Suzuki
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.