Coventry 0-1 Fulham: Bobb's late strike breaks a tight match
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- xG 0.61: Fulham's lowest in nine matches this season
- 2 of 13 shots on target for Coventry
- 80': Bobb's goal worth +1.5 FN xPts to Fulham
Level until the 80th minute
This was a tight match that stayed level until the 80th minute, when Oscar Bobb scored from Joshua King's assist. The expected goals were almost identical, 0.58 for Coventry and 0.61 for Fulham, so a one-goal margin fits the shape of the contest. Neither side's xG reached one.
Plenty of the ball, little threat
Fulham had the ball for long spells, but the shot quality was well below their norm. Their xG was the lowest of their nine matches this season, and their 0.05 xG per shot was the lowest of those nine as well. With 64% of possession, the pattern suggests the ball was held with little bite in the final third.
Coventry resisted but rarely threatened
Coventry's problem lay at the other end: just two shots on target, fewer than their season average. Defensively they were better than usual, allowing 12 shots against an average of 16.8, so the back line held for most of the match. What they lacked was a way to turn that into a goal of their own.
Bobb's goal turned level into a lead
Fulham started Hugo Larsson in midfield with Sander Berge on the bench, and Larsson was replaced by Berge later in the second half. Coventry made no change to their starting side or shape. The 80th-minute goal was the only one of the match, turning a level game into a lead, and it was worth +1.5 FN xPts to Fulham while Coventry's FN xPts fell by 0.9.
FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
Oscar Bobb 8.2Dominant
One goal, four key passes and two successful dribbles from two attempts.
Bobb's value came mostly from attacking play. In a match where Fulham's shot quality was poor, he supplied the one finish that broke the stalemate in the 80th minute, and he was also the match's top key-passer. It was his first Premier League goal of the season, and he was replaced a minute later.
Game state
0-1
Coventry ahead 0 min · level 80 min · Fulham ahead 10 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.
80'
Oscar Bobb
Goal · scorer +1.0 · assist Joshua King +0.5 · COV −0.9
+1.5
Coventry
Expected (last two seasons) 1.1Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.9Time effect −0.2→ League points won 0
Fulham
Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments +1.5Opponent moments 0.0Time effect −0.1→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
CoventryFulham
0.58Expected goals (xG)0.61
Compared with usual
Coventry
9 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1.2 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2.1 | |
| xG | 0.58 | 1 | |
| xG against | 0.61 | 1.6 | |
| Shots | 13 | 11 | |
| On target | 2 | 3.7 | |
| Shots faced | 12 | 16.8 | |
| xG per shot | 0.04 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 36% | 41.2% | |
| Passes | 353 | 352.2 | |
| Corners | 4 | 3.4 | |
| Fouls | 9 | 11.9 | |
Fulham
9 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.4 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1.3 | |
| xG | 0.61 | 1.9 | low |
| xG against | 0.58 | 1.4 | |
| Shots | 12 | 16 | |
| On target | 4 | 5.2 | |
| Shots faced | 13 | 12.8 | |
| xG per shot | 0.05 | 0.11 | low |
| Possession | 64% | 59.7% | |
| Passes | 645 | 597.7 | |
| Corners | 6 | 6.4 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 9.6 | |
Timeline
- 36'
Yellow
Shea Charles
- 60'
Sub
Bobby Thomas → Stephen Mfuni
- 63'
Sub
Hugo Larsson → Sander Berge
- 67'
Sub
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi → Frank Onyeka
- 67'
Sub
Sidiki Cherif → Taiwo Awoniyi
- 67'
Sub
Brandon Thomas-Asante → Ephron Mason-Clark
- 74'
Sub
Gonzalo García → Rodrigo Muniz
- 74'
Sub
Alex Iwobi → César Palacios
- 80'
Goal
Oscar Bobb league goal #1 assist Joshua King
- 81'
Sub
Oscar Bobb → Kenny Tete
- 81'
Sub
Joshua King → Tom Cairney
- 82'
Yellow
Antonee Robinson
- 86'
Sub
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto → Gustavo Hamer
Category leaders
- Key passesOscar Bobb4
- Duels wonTatsuhiro Sakamoto9/14
- DribblesJack Rudoni2/5
- Defensive actionsTimothy Castagne6
- ShotsJoshua King4 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonBrandon Thomas-Asante3
#Premier League#Coventry#Fulham#Oscar Bobb#Joshua King#Matchweek 8
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.