Augsburg 1-1 Union Berlin: volume against quality
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- xG per shot: Union 0.21, Augsburg 0.08
- Augsburg's 69% possession vs a 41.3% seven-match average
- Massengo 71', Haberer 74': lead lasted about three minutes
A red card for each side
Augsburg and Union Berlin finished level at 1-1, and both sides had a player sent off. Union were first to be reduced, with Felix Uduokhai dismissed in the 19th minute, and Abdulay Bah's red card in the 63rd put Augsburg in the same position. Both sides lost a player, and each of the match's two goals came after the second dismissal.
Plenty of the ball, modest shot quality
Augsburg held 69% of the ball, far above their average over seven matches this season. Shots came in numbers, but each was worth only 0.08 xG on average, which suggests the home side were short of clear openings. It looks like volume over quality, even with the numbers on the pitch level for the closing stages.
Union made fewer chances count
Union Berlin took few shots, yet their 0.21 xG per shot was higher than their average over seven matches this season. A single shot on target was all it took, and it was Janik Haberer's equaliser. At the other end, Frederik Rønnow's saves kept Augsburg's pressure from turning into more goals.
Haberer's reply cost Augsburg more
Han-Noah Massengo's opener gave Augsburg a lead that lasted only about three minutes. Janik Haberer's equaliser was worth +0.8 FN xPts to Union, while Augsburg's FN xPts were −1.3, the largest combined change of any moment in the match. The bigger loss fell on the side that had led.
FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
Han-Noah Massengo 8.1Dominant
He scored once, made three tackles and three interceptions, and won all four of his duels.
The FN MOM was as notable for his defensive work as for his goal. Winning every duel and regularly intercepting in midfield made him a steady presence for a side that dominated possession. His shot on target in the 71st minute broke the deadlock, though Union levelled three minutes later.
Game state
1-01-1
FC Augsburg ahead 3 min · level 87 min · Union Berlin ahead 0 min
- Union Berlin: Red card 19' → ~71 min a player down
- FC Augsburg: Red card 63' → ~27 min a player down
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.
19'
Felix Uduokhai
Red card · FCA +0.5
−0.4
63'
Abdulay Bah
Red card · FCU +0.3
−0.3
71'
Han-Noah Massengo
Goal · scorer +0.8 · assist Fabian Rieder +0.4 · FCU −0.8
+1.2
74'
Janik Haberer
Goal · FCA −1.3
+0.8
FC Augsburg
Expected (last two seasons) 1.8Own moments +0.9Opponent moments −0.8Time effect −0.9→ League points won 1
Union Berlin
Expected (last two seasons) 1.0Own moments +0.4Opponent moments −0.5Time effect +0.1→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
FC AugsburgUnion Berlin
1.91Expected goals (xG)1.24
Compared with usual
FC Augsburg
7 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 1 | 2.6 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.7 | |
| xG | 1.91 | 2.2 | |
| xG against | 1.24 | 3.1 | |
| Shots | 25 | 16.7 | |
| On target | 5 | 7 | |
| Shots faced | 6 | 21.7 | |
| xG per shot | 0.08 | 0.14 | |
| Possession | 69% | 41.3% | |
| Passes | 602 | 357.6 | |
| Corners | 5 | 6 | |
| Fouls | 10 | 10.4 | |
Union Berlin
7 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.3 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2.7 | |
| xG | 1.24 | 1.2 | |
| xG against | 1.91 | 2.1 | |
| Shots | 6 | 13.4 | |
| On target | 1 | 5.3 | |
| Shots faced | 25 | 15.7 | |
| xG per shot | 0.21 | 0.09 | |
| Possession | 31% | 43% | |
| Passes | 318 | 346.7 | |
| Corners | 1 | 4.7 | |
| Fouls | 9 | 12.6 | |
Timeline
- 12'
Sub
Calvin Brackelmann → Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
- 19'
Red
Felix Uduokhai
- 25'
Sub
Livan Burcu → Leopold Querfeld
- 31'
Yellow
Janik Haberer
- 36'
Yellow
Leopold Querfeld
- 45'
Sub
Tim Skarke → M. Gray
- 63'
Red
Abdulay Bah
- 71'
Goal
Han-Noah Massengo league goal #1 assist Fabian Rieder
- 72'
Sub
Marius Wolf → Robin Fellhauer
- 72'
Sub
Arijon Ibrahimović → Mert Kömür
- 74'
Goal
Janik Haberer league goal #1
- 76'
Sub
Jeong Woo-Yeong → Oliver Burke
- 77'
Yellow
M. Gray
- 89'
Sub
Anton Kade → Rodrigo Ribeiro
- 89'
Sub
Han-Noah Massengo → Uchenna Ogundu
- 90+5'
Sub
Michel Aebischer → Aljoscha Kemlein
Category leaders
- Key passesFabian Rieder4
- Duels wonAndrás Schäfer9/13
- Defensive actionsHennes Behrens7
- ShotsMichael Gregoritsch6 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonJeong Woo-Yeong3
#Bundesliga#FC Augsburg#Union Berlin#Han-Noah Massengo#Janik Haberer#Jeong Woo-Yeong
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.