Rayo Vallecano 0-3 Elche: nine shots on target away from home
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- xG 2.63, Elche's best in nine matches
- 9 shots on target to 5
- Rayo scored 0, fewest in eight matches
Elche leave Vallecas with three goals
Elche beat Rayo Vallecano 3-0 at Estadio de Vallecas and led for roughly 67 minutes of the 90. Federico Redondo scored from the spot in the 23rd minute and Fer Niño did the same in the 36th. Two penalties gave them a two-goal cushion, and Germán Valera added a third in the 68th minute.
Rayo's shots were plentiful but low in quality
Rayo Vallecano had 18 shots but only five were on target, and each shot averaged just 0.09 xG. That helps explain why no goal arrived, and it is the fewest they have scored in their eight matches this season, against an average of 1.5.
Elche did more with less of the ball
Elche had 43% possession, below their average of 50.8% across nine matches this season. Even so, their 2.63 xG was the best of those nine. They appear to have created better chances without holding the ball for long, and goalkeeper Matías Dituro made four saves to protect the clean sheet.
The 23rd-minute penalty set the tone
Redondo's opener was the biggest moment: it was worth +0.8 FN xPts to Elche, while Rayo's FN xPts fell by −0.8. Pathé Ismaël Ciss then missed a penalty in the 39th minute with Rayo already 2-0 down, which removed their chance to get back into the match. Valera's goal in the 68th came after the contest was settled and carried little weight.
FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
Unai López 7.9Strong
His seven defensive actions and three key passes were the most of any player in the match.
The FN MOM came from the losing side. Unai López made three tackles, three interceptions and a block, won five of his seven duels and completed 79 of his 87 passes. Once Elche had scored in the 23rd and 36th minutes, even his three key passes did not produce a goal.
Game state
0-10-20-3
Rayo Vallecano ahead 0 min · level 23 min · Elche ahead 67 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.
23'
Federico Redondo
Pen goal · RAY −0.8
+0.8
36'
Fer Niño
Pen goal · RAY −0.5
+0.6
39'
Pathé Ismaël Ciss
Pen miss · ELC +0.5
−0.4
68'
Germán Valera
Goal · assist Facundo Buonanotte · RAY −0.1
+0.1
Rayo Vallecano
Expected (last two seasons) 1.7Own moments −0.4Opponent moments −1.4Time effect +0.1→ League points won 0
Elche
Expected (last two seasons) 1.0Own moments +1.5Opponent moments +0.5Time effect 0.0→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
Rayo VallecanoElche
1.61Expected goals (xG)2.63
Compared with usual
Rayo Vallecano
8 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1.5 | low |
| Conceded | 3 | 2.1 | |
| xG | 1.61 | 1.4 | |
| xG against | 2.63 | 1.6 | |
| Shots | 18 | 14.4 | |
| On target | 5 | 4.6 | |
| Shots faced | 16 | 16 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 57% | 51.1% | |
| Passes | 493 | 406 | |
| Corners | 3 | 5.6 | |
| Fouls | 15 | 12.9 | |
Elche
9 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1.2 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1.9 | |
| xG | 2.63 | 1.1 | high |
| xG against | 1.61 | 1.8 | |
| Shots | 16 | 11 | |
| On target | 9 | 4.2 | |
| Shots faced | 18 | 14.9 | |
| xG per shot | 0.16 | 0.11 | |
| Possession | 43% | 50.8% | |
| Passes | 388 | 479.1 | |
| Corners | 3 | 4.6 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 13.4 | |
Timeline
- 10'
Yellow
Javi Morcillo
- 23'
Goal
Federico Redondo (pen) league goal #1
- 30'
Yellow
Gonzalo Villar
- 30'
Yellow
Federico Redondo
- 33'
VAR
Thomas Lemar
- 35'
Yellow
Pathé Ismaël Ciss
- 36'
Goal
Fer Niño (pen) league goal #6
- 39'
Pen miss
Pathé Ismaël Ciss
- 45'
Sub
Gonzalo Villar → Facundo Buonanotte
- 45'
Sub
Jorge de Frutos → Georgiy Tsitaishvili
- 45'
Sub
Sergio Camello → Alemão
- 54'
Yellow
Adrià Pedrosa
- 60'
Sub
Adrià Pedrosa → Jozhua Vertrouwd
- 60'
Sub
Pedro Díaz → Isi Palazón
- 61'
Sub
Fer Niño → Abiel Osorio
- 68'
Goal
Germán Valera league goal #2 assist Facundo Buonanotte
- 72'
Sub
Thomas Lemar → Martim Neto
- 72'
Sub
Lucas Cepeda → Tete Morente
- 76'
Sub
Iván Balliu → Gnangoro Bouaré
- 81'
Yellow
Álvaro García
- 83'
Sub
Federico Redondo → Bigas
Category leaders
- Key passesUnai López3
- Duels wonThomas Lemar7/11
- DribblesGeorgiy Tsitaishvili2/5
- Defensive actionsUnai López7
- ShotsGeorgiy Tsitaishvili3 (on target 0)
- Fouls wonAbiel Osorio3
#La Liga#Rayo Vallecano#Elche#Unai López#Germán Valera#Matías Dituro
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.