Torino 3-2 Monza: shot barrage and a late own goal
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- 17 shots, Torino's most in a match this season
- 0.07 xG per shot: volume over quality
- Monza had 7 shots against a 15.7 average
Torino regained the lead and kept it
Torino beat Monza 3-2 at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, scoring first and then responding after Monza levelled just after the restart. Once back in front, they stayed there until the end. Over the two spells, Torino led for about 37 minutes in total and never trailed.
Plenty of shots, modest quality
Torino had 17 shots, their most in a single match this season. Quality lagged behind quantity: xG per shot was 0.07, below their season average, and more of the efforts came from outside the box than inside it. They still outscored their xG by 1.74.
Monza's shot count fell well below normal
Monza managed only seven shots, far short of their season average of 15.7. Torino conceded fewer shots than in any other match this season. Gustavo Varela still levelled shortly after the restart for his seventh league goal of the campaign.
Belghali's goal answered the equaliser
Belghali's goal, created by substitute Gvidas Gineitis, came in the 61st minute. It was worth +1.0 FN xPts to Torino, while Monza's FN xPts changed by −0.7; no other moment moved the two sides' totals as much. Nikola Vlašić's later goal stretched the lead to two, and Nathan Patterson's own goal deep into stoppage time only trimmed it.
FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
Nikola Vlašić 7.9Strong
He scored in the 72nd minute, made three key passes and completed 45 of his 51 passes.
Vlašić's value came mostly from attacking output. His goal in the 72nd minute turned a one-goal lead into a two-goal cushion, which proved useful when Patterson's own goal arrived deep into stoppage time. Over 90 minutes he also created three chances for team-mates and kept Torino's moves flowing with accurate passing.
Game state
1-01-12-13-13-2
Torino ahead 37 min · level 53 min · Monza ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.
39'
Kian Fitz-Jim
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Giovanni Simeone +0.2 · MON −0.6
+0.8
47'
Gustavo Varela
Goal · TOR −0.8
+0.6
61'
Rafik Belghali
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Gvidas Gineitis +0.3 · MON −0.7
+1.0
72'
Nikola Vlašić
Goal · MON −0.2
+0.3
90+4'
Nathan Patterson
Own goal · MON 0.0
0.0
Torino
Expected (last two seasons) 2.0Own moments +2.1Opponent moments −0.8Time effect −0.3→ League points won 3
Monza
Expected (last two seasons) 0.8Own moments +0.6Opponent moments −1.5Time effect +0.1→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
TorinoMonza
1.26Expected goals (xG)0.6
Compared with usual
Torino
9 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1.2 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.1 | |
| xG | 1.26 | 1.3 | |
| xG against | 0.6 | 1.5 | |
| Shots | 17 | 10.6 | high |
| On target | 7 | 2.8 | high |
| Shots faced | 7 | 16 | low |
| xG per shot | 0.07 | 0.13 | |
| Possession | 51% | 53.6% | |
| Passes | 455 | 490.3 | |
| Corners | 3 | 3.9 | |
| Fouls | 8 | 11 | |
Monza
9 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.9 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1.7 | |
| xG | 0.6 | 1.8 | |
| xG against | 1.26 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 7 | 15.7 | |
| On target | 3 | 6.1 | |
| Shots faced | 17 | 12.7 | |
| xG per shot | 0.09 | 0.13 | |
| Possession | 49% | 45.8% | |
| Passes | 440 | 388.6 | |
| Corners | 4 | 4.8 | |
| Fouls | 4 | 12.1 | low |
Timeline
- 34'
Yellow
Ardian Ismajli
- 39'
Goal
Kian Fitz-Jim league goal #1 assist Giovanni Simeone
- 47'
Goal
Gustavo Varela league goal #7
- 51'
Sub
Rolando Mandragora → Gvidas Gineitis
- 61'
Goal
Rafik Belghali league goal #1 assist Gvidas Gineitis
- 63'
Sub
Lorenzo Lucchesi → Eddy Kouadio
- 63'
Sub
Manga Foe Ondoa → Michael Folorunsho
- 71'
Sub
Kian Fitz-Jim → Daniel Bragança
- 71'
Sub
Giovanni Simeone → Sandro Kulenović
- 71'
Sub
Alessio Cacciamani → Nathan Patterson
- 72'
Goal
Nikola Vlašić league goal #1
- 79'
Sub
Jay Robinson → Patrick Cutrone
- 79'
Sub
Dany Mota → Cyril Ngonge
- 84'
Sub
Rafik Belghali → Zakaria Aboukhlal
- 85'
Sub
Andrea Carboni → Mathis Mout
- 90+4'
Goal
Nathan Patterson (OG)
Category leaders
- Key passesGiovanni Simeone3
- Duels wonArdian Ismajli9/13
- DribblesGiovanni Simeone4/5
- Defensive actionsLorenzo Lucchesi7
- ShotsChe Adams4 (on target 1)
#Serie A#Torino#Monza#Nikola Vlašić#Rafik Belghali#Gustavo Varela
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.