Atletico Madrid 1-0 Deportivo La Coruna: five Oblak saves hold on
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- xG 1.44 v 2.02: Deportivo's chances were better
- Oblak made 5 saves, all shots on target stopped
- 20 shots allowed, Deportivo's most in 9 matches
Atletico win while behind on xG
Atletico Madrid took the points against Deportivo La Coruna despite being behind on xG, 1.44 to 2.02. The only goal came in the 48th minute, when Julián Álvarez finished a move set up by Álex Grimaldo. It was a result that the underlying numbers did not predict.
Deportivo's shots were closer to goal
Deportivo had fewer shots, but 10 of them came inside the box. Their xG per shot, 0.13, was higher than Atletico's 0.07. Atletico appear to have leaned on long-range efforts for much of their volume, which fits that low figure.
Oblak stopped everything on target
Deportivo allowed 20 shots, the most in nine matches this season. Jan Oblak saved all five of their shots on target to keep the clean sheet. Deportivo's xG was well above their season average, and they still left without a goal.
Álvarez broke the deadlock; Atletico held on
Álvarez broke the deadlock in the 48th minute. The goal was worth +0.7 FN xPts to Atletico, while Deportivo's FN xPts change was −0.5. Deportivo found no reply, and Atletico protected the lead to the final whistle.
FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
Julián Álvarez 8.6Dominant
He scored the winner and added five key passes and four successful dribbles.
Álvarez earned his points mainly in attack. Two of his four shots were on target, and one of them was the 48th-minute winner, his first league goal of the season. In a match where Deportivo arrived in the box ten times, he supplied the only finish out of Atletico's 20 shots.
Game state
1-0
Atletico Madrid ahead 42 min · level 48 min · Deportivo La Coruna ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.
48'
Julián Álvarez
Goal · scorer +0.5 · assist Álex Grimaldo +0.2 · DEP −0.5
+0.7
Atletico Madrid
Expected (last two seasons) 2.3Own moments +0.7Opponent moments 0.0Time effect 0.0→ League points won 3
Deportivo La Coruna
Expected (last two seasons) 0.6Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.5Time effect −0.1→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
Atletico MadridDeportivo La Coruna
1.44Expected goals (xG)2.02
Compared with usual
Atletico Madrid
12 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.9 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0.92 | |
| xG | 1.44 | 1.6 | |
| xG against | 2.02 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 20 | 15.8 | |
| On target | 4 | 5.8 | |
| Shots faced | 15 | 10.6 | |
| xG per shot | 0.07 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 56% | 58.2% | |
| Passes | 546 | 578.7 | |
| Corners | 3 | 5.7 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 11.4 | |
Deportivo La Coruna
9 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1.4 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.3 | |
| xG | 2.02 | 1.1 | |
| xG against | 1.44 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 15 | 11.7 | |
| On target | 5 | 4.3 | |
| Shots faced | 20 | 12.6 | high |
| xG per shot | 0.13 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 44% | 48.1% | |
| Passes | 432 | 444.2 | |
| Corners | 4 | 5.2 | |
| Fouls | 6 | 13 | |
Timeline
- 26'
Yellow
Marc Pubill
- 45'
Sub
Ademola Lookman → Robin Le Normand
- 45'
Sub
Pablo Barrios → Giuliano Simeone
- 48'
Goal
Julián Álvarez league goal #1 assist Álex Grimaldo
- 58'
Sub
Diego Villares → Luismi Cruz
- 58'
Sub
David Mella → Adama Traoré
- 67'
Sub
Lee Kang-In → Alexander Sørloth
- 75'
Yellow
Peke
- 79'
Yellow
Giacomo Quagliata
- 80'
Sub
Morten Hjulmand → Rodrigo Mendoza
- 80'
Sub
Bil Nsongo → Kevin Sánchez
- 80'
Sub
Giacomo Quagliata → Jonathan Asp Jensen
- 84'
Sub
Lorenzo Amatucci → Riki Rodríguez
- 85'
Yellow
Alexander Sørloth
- 86'
Yellow
Álex Baena
- 87'
Yellow
Giuliano Simeone
Category leaders
- Key passesJulián Álvarez5
- Duels wonAdrià Alti9/10
- DribblesJulián Álvarez4/6
- Defensive actionsÁlex Grimaldo6
- ShotsJulián Álvarez4 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonAdrià Alti4
#Atletico Madrid#Deportivo La Coruna#La Liga#Julián Álvarez#Jan Oblak#Álex Grimaldo
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.