Genoa 1-0 Venezia: Justin Bijlow's five saves guard a lone goal
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- 7 shots, Genoa's fewest in nine matches this season
- xG 0.41 v 1.82: Venezia had the better chances
- 5 saves, every shot on target stopped
Outshot, yet in front all night
Genoa beat Venezia 1-0 thanks to Mikael Ellertsson's goal in the 25th minute. It was a lone goal that the hosts then protected, spending about 65 minutes in front. Venezia had plenty of the ball and the shots, but never found an equaliser.
Fewest shots of Genoa's season
Genoa's seven shots were their fewest in nine matches this season, so this was a win built on very little volume. Venezia took ten corners, well above their own average so far, which suggests sustained pressure in Genoa's half. Genoa won only two.
Venezia's 1.82 xG brought no goal
On chance quality, Venezia deserved more: they generated 1.82 xG and still drew a blank. All five of their shots on target were stopped by Justin Bijlow. Genoa's own xG was only 0.41, but they turned one chance into the only goal.
One goal was all Genoa needed
Ellertsson's finish, set up by Stephan El Shaarawy, was worth +0.8 FN xPts to Genoa, while Venezia's FN xPts fell by −0.6. It was the single moment that moved both sides' expected points most, and nothing else in the match altered the scoreline.
FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
Justin Bijlow 7.6Strong
He stopped all five shots on target to keep a clean sheet.
Genoa's FN MOM earned his points almost entirely through goalkeeping. With Venezia's chances adding up to 1.82 xG, his five saves meant the lead from the 25th minute was never put at risk. Genoa managed only seven shots, so they had little room for error: one concession would have cost them points.
Game state
1-0
Genoa ahead 65 min · level 25 min · Venezia ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.
25'
Mikael Ellertsson
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Stephan El Shaarawy +0.2 · VEN −0.6
+0.8
Genoa
Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments +0.8Opponent moments 0.0Time effect +0.6→ League points won 3
Venezia
Expected (last two seasons) 1.1Own moments 0.0Opponent moments −0.6Time effect −0.5→ League points won 0
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
GenoaVenezia
0.41Expected goals (xG)1.82
Compared with usual
Genoa
9 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1.1 | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1.6 | |
| xG | 0.41 | 0.91 | |
| xG against | 1.82 | 1.3 | |
| Shots | 7 | 14.3 | low |
| On target | 4 | 4 | |
| Shots faced | 19 | 13.3 | |
| xG per shot | 0.06 | 0.08 | |
| Possession | 45% | 44.7% | |
| Passes | 464 | 390.4 | |
| Corners | 2 | 5.4 | |
| Fouls | 13 | 9.8 | |
Venezia
9 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1.1 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2.2 | |
| xG | 1.82 | 1.5 | |
| xG against | 0.41 | 2.3 | |
| Shots | 19 | 14.7 | |
| On target | 5 | 4.9 | |
| Shots faced | 7 | 16.7 | low |
| xG per shot | 0.1 | 0.1 | |
| Possession | 55% | 56.2% | |
| Passes | 547 | 489.2 | |
| Corners | 10 | 4.2 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 10 | |
Timeline
- 25'
Goal
Mikael Ellertsson league goal #1 assist Stephan El Shaarawy
- 55'
Yellow
Sebastian Otoa
- 62'
Sub
Junior Messias → Morten Frendrup
- 62'
Sub
Stephan El Shaarawy → Lorenzo Colombo
- 70'
Sub
Sebastian Otoa → Alessandro Marcandalli
- 71'
Sub
Ridgeciano Haps → Pasquale Mazzocchi
- 71'
Sub
Toma Bašić → Matteo Dagasso
- 79'
Sub
Antoine Hainaut → Albion Rrahmani
- 81'
Sub
Mario Mitaj → David Puczka
- 81'
Sub
Samuel Wiafe → Alexsandro Amorim
- 87'
Sub
Simon Sohm → Lion Lauberbach
Category leaders
- Key passesKike Pérez4
- Duels wonJohn Yeboah6/11
- DribblesHamed Junior Traorè3/4
- Defensive actionsHamed Junior Traorè5
- ShotsJohn Yeboah3 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonKike Pérez3
#Genoa#Venezia#Serie A#Justin Bijlow#Mikael Ellertsson
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.