Napoli 3-3 AS Roma: Balerdi's brace from the bench
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- 9 shots on target v a season average of 5.2
- AS Roma: 24 shots, 4 on target, 3 goals
- Napoli led for about 52 of 90 minutes
A two-goal cushion slips away
Napoli were in front for long spells: Frank Anguissa scored in the 28th minute and Scott McTominay added a second in the 48th. AS Roma then hit back three times. Napoli regained the lead in the 83rd minute, yet the visitors levelled once more in the 89th. Napoli spent about 52 of the 90 minutes ahead.
Napoli made 40% possession count
Napoli ceded the ball, with 40% possession well below their season average, but they were far sharper with it. Their nine shots on target comfortably exceeded the 5.2 they have averaged across 10 matches this season, and their xG per shot also sat above their norm. Efficiency rather than volume kept them in front for so long.
Roma's volume brought four on target
Roma's pressure was real but blunt. They had 24 shots, yet only four hit the target, and their xG per shot equalled the lowest of their 10 matches this season. Three of those four efforts became goals, though. Finishing well above xG rescued the point, rather than the quality of the chances.
Balerdi's second goal hurt most
Substitute Leonardo Balerdi scored in the 74th and 89th minutes. The second was worth +1.0 FN xPts to AS Roma, while Napoli's FN xPts fell by 1.8, the largest combined change of the match. It came minutes after McTominay put Napoli back in front. Napoli could not hold on, and Massimiliano Allegri was shown a red card in the 90th minute.
FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
Matías Soulé 8.7Dominant
Four key passes, four successful dribbles from five and a goal across 90 minutes.
Soulé, the FN MOM, won eight of 10 duels and completed 60 of 68 passes, so Roma's attacks kept running through him. His 69th-minute goal, set up by Donyell Malen, was the first crack in Napoli's two-goal lead, and Roma were level five minutes later. Most of his FN Score came from attacking work.
Game state
1-02-02-12-23-23-3
Napoli ahead 52 min · level 38 min · AS Roma ahead 0 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.
28'
Frank Anguissa
Goal · ROM −0.7
+0.8
48'
Scott McTominay
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Matteo Politano +0.1 · ROM −0.3
+0.4
69'
Matías Soulé
Goal · assist Donyell Malen · NAP −0.3
+0.2
74'
Leonardo Balerdi
Goal · scorer +0.6 · assist Santiago Castro +0.3 · NAP −1.4
+0.9
83'
Scott McTominay
Goal · scorer +1.1 · assist Mathías Olivera +0.5 · ROM −0.9
+1.6
89'
Leonardo Balerdi
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Wesley +0.3 · NAP −1.8
+1.0
Napoli
Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments +2.8Opponent moments −3.5Time effect +0.1→ League points won 1
AS Roma
Expected (last two seasons) 1.1Own moments +2.1Opponent moments −1.9Time effect −0.3→ League points won 1
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
NapoliAS Roma
2.42Expected goals (xG)1.92
Compared with usual
Napoli
10 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1.5 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1.4 | |
| xG | 2.42 | 1.8 | |
| xG against | 1.92 | 1.4 | |
| Shots | 15 | 14.8 | |
| On target | 9 | 5.2 | |
| Shots faced | 24 | 16.6 | |
| xG per shot | 0.16 | 0.12 | |
| Possession | 40% | 50.4% | |
| Passes | 378 | 489.9 | |
| Corners | 2 | 5.1 | |
| Fouls | 6 | 9.5 | |
AS Roma
10 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 3 | 2.4 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0.8 | |
| xG | 1.92 | 2.3 | |
| xG against | 2.42 | 1.1 | |
| Shots | 24 | 17.5 | |
| On target | 4 | 6.2 | |
| Shots faced | 15 | 10.2 | |
| xG per shot | 0.08 | 0.13 | |
| Possession | 60% | 57.3% | |
| Passes | 578 | 552.9 | |
| Corners | 11 | 5.2 | |
| Fouls | 11 | 12.8 | |
Timeline
- 4'
Yellow
Rafa Marín
- 28'
Goal
Frank Anguissa league goal #1
- 30'
Yellow
Bryan Cristante
- 45'
Yellow
Devyne Rensch
- 48'
Goal
Scott McTominay league goal #1 assist Matteo Politano
- 52'
Sub
Benoît Badiashile → Sam Beukema
- 58'
Sub
Devyne Rensch → Nahuel Molina
- 58'
Sub
Hermoso → Leonardo Balerdi
- 58'
Sub
Niccolò Pisilli → Santiago Castro
- 61'
Yellow
Leonardo Balerdi
- 66'
Sub
Matteo Politano → Giovane
- 69'
Goal
Matías Soulé league goal #3 assist Donyell Malen
- 74'
Goal
Leonardo Balerdi league goal #1 assist Santiago Castro
- 79'
Sub
Kevin De Bruyne → Stanislav Lobotka
- 79'
Sub
Noa Lang → Antonio Vergara
- 80'
Sub
Giovanni Di Lorenzo → Leonardo Spinazzola
- 83'
Goal
Scott McTominay league goal #2 assist Mathías Olivera
- 84'
Sub
Donyell Malen → Rodrigo Mora
- 84'
Sub
Gianluca Mancini → Daniele Ghilardi
- 86'
Yellow
Marten de Roon
- 89'
Goal
Leonardo Balerdi league goal #2 assist Wesley
- 90'
Red
Massimiliano Allegri (coaching staff)
Category leaders
- Key passesDonyell Malen4
- Duels wonScott McTominay9/13
- DribblesMatías Soulé4/5
- Defensive actionsRafa Marín8
- ShotsDonyell Malen4 (on target 1)
- Fouls wonKevin De Bruyne3
#Napoli#AS Roma#Serie A#Balerdi#McTominay#Soulé
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.