Rot-Weiß Essen 1-2 RB Leipzig: Baumgartner's brace turns it round
AI-written review based on match data · How we make it
Key numbers
- 2 shots on target, Leipzig's fewest in 11 matches
- xG per shot 0.21, Leipzig's best in 11 matches
- Essen led for about 69 minutes and still lost
Leipzig turn it round after a red card
Rot-Weiß Essen were in front for about 69 minutes after Lucas Brumme's early goal, but they could not hold on to it. Leipzig lost Nicolas Seiwald to a red card just before the break and won it late through two Christoph Baumgartner goals, which left the hosts with little to show for a long spell in the lead.
Fewer shots, but better ones
Leipzig's two shots on target were their fewest in 11 matches this season, yet their xG per shot of 0.21 was the highest of those matches. The numbers suggest an evening that was less about sustained pressure and more about fewer, better chances, with Leipzig making the most of each opening they created.
Baumgartner's equaliser hurt Essen most
Baumgartner's equaliser in the 78th minute, set up by Antonio Nusa, left Essen's FN xPts for that moment at −1.4. Once Leipzig's gain is added, it was the largest shift of the match. David Raum then provided the pass for the 82nd-minute goal that put them ahead for the first time.
Raum and Baku held the side together
David Raum created six chances, more than anyone else on the pitch, and set up the winner. Ridle Baku won 13 of his 17 duels, holding firm at the back after the red card, and Essen never found a second goal. Between them, the two defenders gave Leipzig a platform from which to recover.
FN MOM
Highest FN Score · our own pick by a published formula, not the official Player of the Match
David Raum 8.8Dominant
Six key passes, the most on the pitch, and the assist for the 82nd-minute winner.
Raum, the FN MOM, earned most of his points going forward, yet four interceptions and 52 accurate passes from 67 show how much he did once Leipzig were reduced to ten. His delivery for the 82nd-minute goal gave them the lead for the first time, which turned a patient recovery into a win.
Game state
1-01-11-2
Rot-Weiß Essen ahead 69 min · level 13 min · RB Leipzig ahead 8 min
- RB Leipzig: Red card 44' → ~46 min a player down
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist. The value next to a team code is what the same moment did to the other side's expected points; the decisive moment is the one with the largest combined change for both teams.
9'
Lucas Brumme
Goal · RBL −0.6
+0.5
44'
Nicolas Seiwald
Red card · RWE +0.5
−0.5
78'
Christoph Baumgartner
Goal · scorer +0.7 · assist Antonio Nusa +0.3 · RWE −1.4
+1.0
82'
Christoph Baumgartner
Goal · scorer +1.0 · assist David Raum +0.4 · RWE −0.9
+1.4
Knockout ties have no league points, so moments are weighed on a win-3/draw-1 scale only.
Pre-match expectation for Rot-Weiß Essen is an estimate: no top-five-league record, so it uses the published starting values.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →
Match stats
Rot-Weiß EssenRB Leipzig
1.38Expected goals (xG)2.33
Compared with usual
RB Leipzig
11 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | |
|---|
| Goals | 2 | 2.6 | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1.7 | |
| xG | 2.33 | 2.1 | |
| xG against | 1.38 | 1.8 | |
| Shots | 11 | 17.5 | |
| On target | 2 | 6.6 | low |
| Shots faced | 9 | 14.3 | |
| xG per shot | 0.21 | 0.13 | high |
| Possession | 63% | 51.9% | |
| Passes | 516 | 492.4 | |
| Corners | 7 | 5.5 | |
| Fouls | 10 | 10.3 | |
Timeline
- 9'
Goal
Lucas Brumme
- 23'
Yellow
Dickson Abiama
- 34'
Yellow
Nicolas Seiwald
- 44'
Red
Nicolas Seiwald
- 45'
Sub
Rocco Reitz → Brajan Gruda
- 45'
Sub
Andrija Maksimović → Neil El Aynaoui
- 62'
Sub
Ridle Baku → Antonio Nusa
- 62'
Sub
Ezechiel Banzuzi → Christoph Baumgartner
- 65'
Sub
Lucas Brumme → Ekin Çelebi
- 73'
Yellow
Christoph Baumgartner
- 74'
Sub
M. Kostka → Nick Bätzner
- 76'
Yellow
Neil El Aynaoui
- 77'
Yellow
Nick Bätzner
- 78'
Goal
Christoph Baumgartner competition goal #1 assist Antonio Nusa
- 80'
Sub
Dickson Abiama → F Vasic
- 80'
Sub
Noah Pesch → Luca Bazzoli
- 82'
Yellow
Martín Gastón Demichelis (coaching staff)
- 82'
Goal
Christoph Baumgartner competition goal #2 assist David Raum
- 87'
Sub
Rômulo → Benjamin Henrichs
- 90+5'
Yellow
Ø. Nyland
Category leaders
- Key passesDavid Raum6
- Duels wonRidle Baku13/17
- DribblesTidiam Gomis8/10
- Defensive actionsRidle Baku8
- ShotsChristoph Baumgartner3 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonTidiam Gomis3
#RB Leipzig#Rot-Weiß Essen#DFB-Pokal#Christoph Baumgartner#David Raum
This review was written by AI from match data (API-Football). FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.