Luton 2-3 Chelsea
Key numbers
- Possession 51% – 49%
- Shots 15 (6 on target) – 12 (8)
- Decisive moment: 12' Cole Palmer, FN xPts +0.7
Ross Barkley 80'
Elijah Adebayo 87'
Elijah Adebayo 87'
HT 0:2
Cole Palmer 12'
Noni Madueke 37'
Cole Palmer 70'
Noni Madueke 37'
Cole Palmer 70'
Luton 18th · 15 pts|Chelsea 11th → 10th · 28 pts
Luton edged xG (2.53–1.5) but Chelsea took the win.
Player of the matchCole PalmerDecisive moment12' Cole Palmer+0.7
Player of the match
Cole Palmer Dominant
Highest FN Score on the pitch: 9.0 (Dominant)
Game state
Luton ahead 0 min · level 12 min · Chelsea ahead 78 min
FN xPts — what each moment was worth
How much each moment changed that team's expected points (win 3, draw 1). A goal's value is credited 70% to the scorer and 30% to the assist.
12'
Cole Palmer
Goal
+0.7
37'
Noni Madueke
Goal · scorer +0.3 · assist Cole Palmer +0.1
+0.4
70'
Cole Palmer
Goal · assist Nicolas Jackson
+0.1
80'
Ross Barkley
Goal · assist Alfie Doughty
0.0
87'
Elijah Adebayo
Goal
+0.1
Luton
Expected (last two seasons) 1.1Own moments +0.1Opponent moments −0.9Time effect −0.3→ League points won 0
Chelsea
Expected (last two seasons) 1.6Own moments +1.2Opponent moments −0.2Time effect +0.4→ League points won 3
Expected points don't add up to a fixed total (a draw is 1 + 1), so an opponent's moment isn't simply the mirror of your loss. "Time effect" is the change as the clock runs down on a lead or a chase, and isn't credited to any player.
How FN Score and FN xPts work →Match stats
LutonChelsea
51%Possession49%
2.53Expected goals (xG)1.5
0.17xG per shot0.13
15Shots12
6Shots on target8
40%Shots on target %67%
12Shots in box7
406Passes418
83%Pass accuracy83%
7Corners2
5Saves4
14Fouls21
2Yellow cards2
5Offsides1
Compared with usual
Luton
20 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1.2 | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1.9 | |
| xG | 2.53 | 0.86 | high |
| xG against | 1.5 | 1.9 | |
| Shots | 15 | 10.9 | |
| On target | 6 | 3 | |
| Shots faced | 12 | 17 | |
| xG per shot | 0.17 | 0.08 | high |
| Possession | 51% | 38.9% | |
| Passes | 406 | 327.5 | |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 71.9% | high |
| Corners | 7 | 5.1 | |
| Fouls | 14 | 11.8 |
Chelsea
23 matches this season, all competitions baseline
| This match | Avg | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1.6 | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1.3 | |
| xG | 1.5 | 1.7 | |
| xG against | 2.53 | 1.2 | |
| Shots | 12 | 14.2 | |
| On target | 8 | 5 | |
| Shots faced | 15 | 11.7 | |
| xG per shot | 0.13 | 0.13 | |
| Possession | 49% | 61.1% | |
| Passes | 418 | 602 | |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 87.1% | |
| Corners | 2 | 5.7 | |
| Fouls | 21 | 11.4 |
Timeline
- 12' Goal Cole Palmer league goal #7
- 27' Yellow Jacob Brown
- 37' Goal Noni Madueke league goal #2 assist Cole Palmer
- 46' Sub Jacob Brown → Chiedozie Ogbene
- 46' Sub Issa Kaboré → Tahith Chong
- 62' Sub Andros Townsend → Carlton Morris
- 62' Sub Armando Broja → Christopher Nkunku
- 70' Goal Cole Palmer league goal #8 assist Nicolas Jackson
- 76' VAR Elijah Adebayo
- 77' Yellow Teden Mengi
- 80' Goal Ross Barkley league goal #2 assist Alfie Doughty
- 81' Sub Noni Madueke → Enzo Fernández
- 87' Yellow Axel Disasi
- 87' Goal Elijah Adebayo league goal #5
- 90+1' Sub Cole Palmer → Alfie Gilchrist
- 90+4' Yellow Malo Gusto
- 90+4' Sub Albert Sambi Lokonga → Cauley Woodrow
Category leaders
- Key passesAlfie Doughty4
- Duels wonTeden Mengi10/12
- DribblesRoss Barkley4/7
- Defensive actionsTeden Mengi10
- ShotsRoss Barkley4 (on target 2)
- Fouls wonMalo Gusto5
Past-season matches are summarised from match data (API-Football) without a written review. FN Score and FN xPts are calculated by Fulltime Note using a published formula.